Kansas City @ Chicago Picks & Props

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 39%. Batting from the same side that Nick Nastrini throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. meets a tough challenge today. Extreme groundball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Nastrini. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 39%. Batting from the same side that Nick Nastrini throws from, Maikel Garcia will be in a tough position today. The Chicago White Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Maikel Garcia is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Chicago (#2-best of all teams on the slate today). Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia today.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hunter Renfroe's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 113.2 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Andrew Vaughn has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Nelson Velazquez pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Nelson Velazquez's 21.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Nelson Velazquez's 95.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Lenyn Sosa has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Lenyn Sosa has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .201 BA is considerably lower than his .232 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Martin Maldonado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand today. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Nastrini today.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Freddy Fermin pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Freddy Fermin has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .320 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .342. Freddy Fermin has compiled a .288 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Freddy Fermin is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Braden Shewmake will have the handedness advantage over Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Braden Shewmake will hold that advantage today. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 27.96 ft/sec this year, Braden Shewmake is remarkably fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Nicky Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Nicky Lopez has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .219 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Andrew Benintendi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game. Andrew Benintendi has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Batting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Robbie Grossman is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Robbie Grossman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Robbie Grossman will hold that advantage today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Robbie Grossman ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Dominic Fletcher will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Fletcher will hold that advantage in today's game. Grading out in the 88th percentile, Dominic Fletcher sports a .277 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences in the league — generally good for home runs. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Nick Nastrini today. As it relates to his batting average, Adam Frazier has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268. Adam Frazier is in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.1% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Nastrini in today's matchup. MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.