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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 19, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
+117 
|
o7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.60 |
-123
|
u8.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +172 
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Jobes last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Jobes last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 7-0 in Burkes last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
o0.5+184
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.11 |
-110
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150 
|
|
3.91 |
+100
|
u7.5 +100 
|
+1.5 -175
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Gunnar Henderson u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
u1.5-200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+107
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.58 |
-120
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +170
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0 in Painters last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Painters last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Mets are 6-0 in Scotts last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
+130
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
3.66 |
-139
|
u7.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +155
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-0 in Red Sox last 8 games following a win.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 5-0 in Peraltas last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
o0.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+155
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.62 |
-178
|
u8.0 -122
|
-1.5 +125
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 on grass.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts on grass.
- are 8-2 in Lopezs last 10 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Guardians last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+100
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.36 |
-112
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Camerons last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 8-1 in Royals last 9 games as an underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-2 in Chandlers last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Chandlers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Chandlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in Chandlers last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+188)
o0.5+188
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.51 |
-134
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.79 |
+120
|
u9.5 -122
|
+1.5 -136
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Boyds last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Boyds last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-1 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Lodolos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Lodolos last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Lodolos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+140)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.36 |
-109
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
3.75 |
-103
|
u7.5 +103
|
+1.5 -179
|
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.
- Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
Texas
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Quantrills last 4 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
+115
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -188
|
|
5.06 |
-129
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in Wesneskis last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+198
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+101
|
o8.5 -118
|
+1.5 -225
|
|
4.42 |
-115
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +155
|
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Alvarezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Alvarezs last 7 starts as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Cardinals last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in McGreevys last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+128
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.45 |
-150
|
o10.5 -122
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
5.36 |
+135
|
u11.0 -113
|
+1.5 -115
|
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Millers last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Millers last 6 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Colorado
- Under is 3-0-1 in Hughes' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Rockies last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+265
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-140
|
o7.0 -134
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.34 |
+125
|
u7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -137
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Schlittlers last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Pfaadts last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+135
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.36 |
-150
|
u8.0 -136
|
-1.5 +140
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Perezs last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Diego
- Over is 9-0 in Padres last 9 games following a win.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)
o0.5+236
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.72 |
+330
|
o7.5 +105
|
+2.5 -110
|
|
5.28 |
-375
|
u7.5 -114
|
-2.5 +105
|
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-2 in Giants last 10 games following a loss.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Brett Harris o0.5 Total RBIs (+409)
o0.5+409
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
-105
|
o7.0 -125
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
3.85 |
-108
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +200
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0 in Ryans last 6 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ryans last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-0 in Twins last 7 games following a win.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Detmers' last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Detmers' last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Joe Ryan o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
o5.5-150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.50 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 9-1 in Sanchezs last 10 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Phillies are 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
- Over is 7-1 in Mets last 8 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Royals last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 14-2 in their last 16 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.79 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.21 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Guardians are 6-0 in Williams' last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Guardians last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Lowders last 6 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Braves last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 road games.
Houston
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Astros last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Astros last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.62 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Meltons last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Martins last 7 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 10-1 in Martins last 11 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.90 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Mathews' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Mathews' last 4 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 road games.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Rangers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rockies last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Suganos last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 during game 3 of a series.
DET
@
CHW
Sat, Sep 19 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (+116)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Chicago’s hitters are offering little resistance down the stretch, batting .211 with a brutal 28.7% strikeout rate over the last fourteen days. Meanwhile, Detroit’s relief corps has turned into an absolute buzzsaw, dialing up a microscopic 2.01 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 1.84 BB/9.
Jackson Jobe brings lethal stuff to the hill against an unannounced South Side arm, setting up Detroit as an exceptional plus-money look.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for mound aces.. Munetaka Murakami has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 18.8% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.. Munetaka Murakami's launch angle lately (-7.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 15.8° seasonal angle.. Checking in at the 6th percentile, Munetaka Murakami has put up a .209 batting average this year.
MIL
@
BAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Out of all the teams today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.. Pete Alonso's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 97.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 95-mph over the last 7 days.. Over the last week, Pete Alonso's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 50.5%.
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold the platoon advantage against Robert Gasser in today's game... and moreover, Gasser has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
PHI
@
NYM
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Andrew Painter u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-130)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to -140. Andrew Painter has been in strong form, posting a 2.93 FIP over the last month while limiting opponents to a 33.7% hard-hit rate. The Mets enter with just an 81 wRC+ over the last week, and Painter has surrendered only one earned run across his last two road starts.
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
BOS
@
TB
Sat, Sep 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Brayan Bello gives up a lot more power to lefties, allowing 1.46 HR/9 compared to 0.38 HR/9 when facing righties.
Jonathan Aranda is my preferred target to take advantage. He has enjoyed a lot of success against the sinker-changeup combination Bello is heavily reliant on.
Isolating those two pitches thrown by righties, Aranda’s ISO sits at .235 and his wOBA is approaching .400.
Total
o7.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Over is a little short here, making it a buy up to 55%.
The Boston Red Sox are 6-3 to the Over in Brayan Bello starts, and 4-1 when facing an offense that ranks in the top half of the league in run production.
Since joining the Tampa Bay Rays, Freddy Peralta has allowed 10 runs over two starts against top-10 teams in OBP vs. RHP.
ATH
@
CLE
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the league for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.. Jo Adell will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today's matchup... and moreover, Lopez has a large platoon split.
KC
@
PIT
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 21st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. 20% of the time that Michael Massey has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. PNC Park has the 7th-largest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally bad for homers.. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Massey today.. Over the last 14 days, Michael Massey's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Brandon Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 7 days.. Brandon Lowe has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95-mph.
CHC
@
CIN
Sat, Sep 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total Home Runs (+406)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 21%. Alex Bregman is in excellent form, combining two homers over his last six games with a .550 ISO and plenty of lift. Nick Lodolo has surrendered 2.08 HR/9 across his previous two starts, while Cincinnati’s bullpen has also struggled to suppress power. Bregman is appealing at this price.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. JJ Bleday will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
TOR
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
George Springer has a knack for hitting homers when the Blue Jays need it most, and tonight qualifies. Still having a great second half of the season with a .823 OPS, Springer will need to lock into Quantrill's flat cutter - five of his 13 homers against have come off that pitch.
Outs Recorded
Jose Soriano o17.5 Outs Recorded (-135)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Jose Soriano will need to pitch deep into the ballgame after Dylan Cease threw just 2 2/3 innings last night. With a taxed bullpen behind him and the season likely one loss away from being over, he doesn't have much choice. The right-hander has gone over this number in three of his last four starts and has had some success against the Texas Rangers, limiting them to a .247 xBA and .313 xwOBA across 83 plate appearances. He'll have to be the man to keep the season afloat.
ATL
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
ATL (+102)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Atlanta’s offensive output has evaporated over the last two weeks, slipping to 26th overall with an 84 wRC+ and a meager .291 OBP, while their arms are getting hurt by the long ball (1.74 HR/9).
Houston is generating far more raw power right now (.210 ISO, 105 wRC+). Hayden Wesneski should outduel Grant Holmes in what essentially profiles as a pick’em spot for the Astros.
Total Bases
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Minute Maid Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.3°, Christian Walker has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.6° mark over the past 14 days.. Sporting a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Christian Walker grades out in the 78th percentile for power.
WAS
@
STL
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Alvarez throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.. Dylan Crews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dylan Crews has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last week.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.1% to 19.3%.
SEA
@
COL
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+124)
Projection 0.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as Major League Baseball's 13th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
NYY
@
AZ
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+539)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 20%. Cody Bellinger’s power has taken off lately, with three homers over his last six games and a .360 ISO. He’s also elevating the ball consistently, while Brandon Pfaadt has allowed plenty of hard contact and 1.72 HR/9 recently. At 15%, Bellinger offers worthwhile upside in Arizona.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play down to +100. Cody Bellinger is swinging a scorching bat, hitting .440 over his last six games with three homers and a .360 ISO. Brandon Pfaadt has struggled recently, allowing nine earned runs over his last two starts with a 50% hard-hit rate. Bellinger is in a strong spot to keep producing.
MIA
@
SD
Sat, Sep 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 25%. Fernando Tatis Jr. is finally showing the power expected from him, going deep three times over the last week with a .414 ISO. His hard-hit and barrel numbers are climbing, and Eury Perez has struggled badly with home runs lately. Miami’s bullpen gives Tatis another favorable path to a long ball.
Total Bases
Dustin Harris u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Dustin Harris ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This year, Dustin Harris has been pinch hit for in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. Dustin Harris pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
SF
@
LAD
Sat, Sep 19 • 9:10 PM ET
Spread
LAD -1.5 (-158)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Dodgers are a strong Run Line play up to 62%.
Only three teams have posted a lower average or OBP vs. southpaws than the San Francisco Giants over the past month. They are struggling to get on base, and a matchup with Tarik Skubal will do them no favors.
Logan Webb was shut down for the season, leaving the Giants with a patchwork approach on the mound vs. a Dodgers team sitting second in OBP the last 30 days.
Strikeouts Thrown
Tarik Skubal o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-103)
Projection 8.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his strikeout skill, Tarik Skubal projects as the 5th-best pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Jonah Cox, Shay Whitcomb).. Projected catcher Hunter Feduccia profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 7th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.. Tarik Skubal will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his metrics in all categories.
MIN
@
LAA
Sat, Sep 19 • 9:38 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Joe Ryan o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+220)
Projection 6.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Joe Ryan in the 92nd percentile among all starters in the league.. Joe Ryan has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.. The Los Angeles Angels have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christian Moore, Josh Lowe, Mike Trout, Zach Neto).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 4th-best field in baseball for strikeouts.. Joe Ryan was in good form in his last outing and posted 7 strikeouts.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 8th-best batter in the majors.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Mike Trout will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
