MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

TOR @

CHC Fri, Jun 19 • 2:20 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Alex Bregman o1.5 Total Bases (+175)

Projection 1.55

Best Odds

o1.5 +175

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today.

+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+165)

Projection 1.59

Best Odds

o1.5 +165

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Michael Busch is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.

+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 3 Picks

CHW @

DET Fri, Jun 19 • 6:40 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Braden Montgomery o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+114)

Projection 1.76

Best Odds

o1.5 +132

Pick made: 57 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

As it relates to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.5-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

+132 at bet365

Total Bases

Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+210)

Projection 1.41

Best Odds

o1.5 +210

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +208

o1.5 +202

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +210

+210 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 3 Picks

CIN @

NYY Fri, Jun 19 • 7:05 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Bases

Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+111)

Projection 1.85

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +111

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +110

Paul Goldschmidt's batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

+125 at bet365

View Pick

MIL @

ATL Fri, Jun 19 • 7:15 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)

Projection 0.54

Best Odds

o0.5 +200

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +186

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +174

o0.5 +170

Brice Turang's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

+200 at bet365

Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)

Projection 0.58

Best Odds

o0.5 +235

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +235

o0.5 +230

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +210

o0.5 +200

As it relates to his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's matchup.. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

+235 at DraftKings

View 7 Picks

CLE @

HOU Fri, Jun 19 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Strikeouts Thrown

Tatsuya Imai o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-140)

Projection 5.84

Best Odds

o4.5 -134

Pick made: 32 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 -140

o4.5 -134

o4.5 -137

o4.5 -140

Throwing 97.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Tatsuya Imai checks in at the 97th percentile.. The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Petey Halpin, Rhys Hoskins, David Fry).. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Tatsuya Imai will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

-134 at FanDuel

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Projection 2.25

Best Odds

o1.5 -103

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -103

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -115

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage today.

-103 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

STL @

KC Fri, Jun 19 • 8:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-165)

Projection 2.52

Best Odds

o1.5 -155

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -171

o1.5 -165

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand today.

-155 at FanDuel

Total Home Runs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total Home Runs (+760)

Projection 0.18

Best Odds

o0.5 +760

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +760

o0.5 +700

o0.5 +440

o0.5 +625

o0.5 +750

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

+760 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

PIT @

COL Fri, Jun 19 • 8:40 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

TJ Rumfield o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

o0.5 +157

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +157

o0.5 +135

o0.5 +130

T.J. Rumfield is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. T.J. Rumfield will hold the platoon advantage against Bubba Chandler today.. T.J. Rumfield will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

+157 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (-124)

Projection 2.34

Best Odds

o1.5 -110

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -124

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -145

o1.5 -124

o1.5 -110

When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

-110 at bet365

View 2 Picks

MIN @

AZ Fri, Jun 19 • 9:45 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-104)

Projection 2.02

Best Odds

o1.5 -104

Pick made: 12 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -104

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -106

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Connor Prielipp.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.

-104 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+108)

Projection 2.05

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 4th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 2 Picks

BOS @

SEA Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+127)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +140

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today.

+140 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View Pick

BAL @

LAD Fri, Jun 19 • 10:10 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+116)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +116

Pick made: 12 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +116

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +115

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Trey Gibson throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Freddie Freeman will hold that advantage today.

+116 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+121)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 33 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +125

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 2 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 7 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 7 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 12 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 12 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Best Odds

o4.5 -526

Pick made: 12 hours ago

o4.5 -670

o8.0 -104

o8.0 -102

o4.5 -699

o4.5 -654

o4.5 -526

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 13 hours ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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