Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
CIN
@
PIT
Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
WAS
@
BAL
Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
TEX
@
TOR
Sun, Jun 28 • 1:37 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+295)
Okamoto hits the ball harder than any other Blue Jays in the lineup with a 50% hard hit rate, .479 slug-rate, and a team-high 19 home runs this season, six of which have come off sinkers or sliders. The Jays slugger also owns a .460 slug rate against those pitches with 11 XBH.
Ernie Clement profiles well against Kumar Rocker’s sinker/slider pitch mix, owning a .333 average with a .447 slug rate against them. Jays outfielder Daulton Varsho also profiles well against Rocker, sporting a .295 average against his pitch mix with a .449 slug rate. and has hit the ball well since returning from the IL, owning a 155 WRC+ over his last six games. A Shane Bieber bounce-back is in order against a lineup he’s handled well. The Rangers own just a .193 average and a .483 OPS against him in 57 plate appearances.
HOU
@
DET
Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
HOU (-120)
u8.5 (-120)
SEA
@
CLE
Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
SEA (-107)
Cleveland's hitters are in an absolute funk right now, striking out a ton and barely scoring runs. George Kirby throws elite strikes, which will completely frustrate them. If he hands the lead over, Seattle’s bullpen is currently the absolute best, most untouchable unit in baseball.
AZ
@
TB
Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
PHI
@
NYM
Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
o8.5 (+100)
A Phillies offense that topped 10 runs in a game three times in the last week has managed just four runs in the two games in New York, their weakest back-to-back performance since the end of May.
Philadelphia is due for an explosion against a worn-out New York bullpen. Bryce Harper is 5-for-8 with three RBI in the series.
PHI -1.5 (+115)
The Phillies start Jesus Luzardo, who has pitched into the sixth inning in eight straight starts, given up two or fewer earned runs in seven of them, and had 13 strikeouts his last time out.
The New York Mets start Cionel Perez as an opener in a bullpen game a day after they used four relievers for 61 pitches. That's a big advantage for Philly.
KC
@
CHW
Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Bobby Witt Jr. is in an excellent spot to leave the yard this afternoon against Anthony Kay. He has great arsenal coverage against Kay's below average pitch mix, and Batters-Box gives him an elite rating. On the road this season when elite, Witt has homered in nearly 30% of his games. Over his last 60 plate appearances against left handed pitching, he owns a .618 slugging percentage, a 13.7% barrel rate, and a 59% hard hit rate. Kay has also been extremely vulnerable to right handed hitters, allowing an elevation rate of nearly 82% over his last 30 right handed batters faced.
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-118)
Despite the Royals' disappointing 2026 season, Bobby Witt Jr. continues to be their offensive catalyst. He draws a favorable matchup against left hander Anthony Kay, whose below average pitch mix aligns well with Witt's strengths. Batters-Box gives Witt an elite rating, and he has gone over this prop in 56% of his road games while recording a hit in 76%. Against left handed pitching, he is batting .364 with a .618 slugging percentage, a 1.035 OPS, and elite hard contact metrics over his last 60 plate appearances. With Kay struggling against right handed bats, Witt is in a great spot this afternoon.
COL
@
MIN
Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total Home Runs (+235)
CHC
@
MIL
Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.0 (-115)
The Chicago Cubs' bullpen has given up an extraordinary amount of power in June, conceding a league-high 2.1 homers per nine innings.
The Milwaukee Brewers don’t hit a ton of homers but they rank third in runs per game and 10th in OPS. Look for them to do the heavy lifting offensively.
Bet the Over to -125.
MIL -1.5 (+110)
Brandon Woodruff owns a solid 3.00 ERA while ranking in the 90th percentile in xERA and 82nd in xBA.
The Milwaukee Brewers are much more likely to have success at the plate. The Chicago Cubs will be going with a bullpen game, which is a scary proposition when they sit 29th in FIP in June.
Bet to -105.
MIA
@
STL
Sun, Jun 28 • 2:15 PM ET
ATH
@
LAA
Sun, Jun 28 • 3:15 PM ET
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+259)
Shea Langeliers draws left handed pitcher Sam Aldegheri, who has struggled badly with right handed hitters this season. Aldegheri has allowed elite hard contact and elevation to righties over his last 30 hitters, posting a 72% elevation rate, 16% barrel rate, and .659 xSLG, .455 xwOBA. Langeliers has been excellent against left handed pitching this season, producing a .651 slugging, 1.046 OPS, and 183 wRC+. Despite the sub 3-to-1 price, the matchup strongly favors Langeliers given his power surge against lefties, making him a strong play with added value on his double prop here
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Shea Langeliers is in an excellent spot against Angels left hander Sam Aldegheri, who has struggled badly against right handed hitters. Over his last 30 righties faced, Aldegheri has allowed a 72% elevation rate, 16% barrel rate, and a .455 xwOBA. Langeliers matches up well against his arsenal and has crushed left handed pitching all season, posting a .337 batting average, .651 slugging percentage, 1.046 OPS, and 183 wRC+. He has also generated a 48% hard hit rate and 13% barrel rate over his last 30 plate appearances against lefties. I like the value at -115, with his home run and double props worth a look as well.
ATL
@
SF
Sun, Jun 28 • 4:05 PM ET
LAD
@
SD
Sun, Jun 28 • 4:10 PM ET
There’s prime hitting weather with winds of 9-10 mph blowing out to right field for the majority of the ballgame, so I’m sapping up the plus money on the Over. Both squads are supposed to have strong bullpens, but that hasn’t been the case lately. San Diego has a 4.15 SIERA in relief over the last 14 days, and L.A. isn’t far ahead at 4.24.
This line is giving too much respect to Michael King (3.33 ERA) and the home team over the recently shaky Emmet Sheehan (5.32 ERA) and the visitors. King’s 4.69 xERA is actually higher than Sheehan’s (4.03), however, and San Diego's 23-20 record at home is worse than L.A.’s 27-16 road record.
NYY
@
BOS
Sun, Jun 28 • 7:20 PM ET
Sonny Gray has looked good for the Red Sox this season, but his xERA of 3.8 tells me he's due for regression. That'll come against the Yankees tonight, with Paul Goldschmidt and Ben Rice leading the charge. Rice has 17 homers against RHP with a .652 slug rate. He'll bust out of his slump on SNB tonight. I'm also backing Goldy to stay hot in June, as he's batting over .300 in the month with eight homers.
o7.5 (-123)
I’m playing the Over because Gray’s current profile does not support treating him like a shutdown arm. His .300 xBA allowed and 11.0% barrel rate create a real path for the Yankees to bounce back offensively, even without a fully healthy lineup.
Rodon has the better contact profile, but his 12.7% walk rate keeps Boston live for traffic and sequencing. At 7.5, this number does not require a blowup. It needs one starter to crack and the other offense to contribute. Play to 8.
AZ
@
STL
Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
o2.5 Team Total (-115)
The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.
Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
o7.5 (-116)
SF (+124)
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.
We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.
Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.
Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.
Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.
Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.
Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.
Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.
There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.
Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.
If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.
Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
Established in 1995,
All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
