NBCSP, Sportsnet

Toronto @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+929
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+929
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kevin Kiermaier has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kevin Kiermaier has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+448
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+448
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+323
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+323
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Davis Schneider will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Davis Schneider will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+236
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+236
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+208
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge in today's matchup.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+252
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+252
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have the upper hand in today's game. Garrett Stubbs will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs's 22.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 97th percentile.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have the upper hand in today's game. Garrett Stubbs will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs's 22.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 97th percentile.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably quick, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.48 ft/sec this year.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably quick, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.48 ft/sec this year.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield has recorded a .299 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Whit Merrifield's 2.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield has recorded a .299 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Whit Merrifield's 2.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this season. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.96 ft/sec now. Johan Rojas has compiled a .345 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this season. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.96 ft/sec now. Johan Rojas has compiled a .345 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's 11.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's 11.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Daulton Varsho has been very fortunate this year. His .342 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 96th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Daulton Varsho has been very fortunate this year. His .342 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 96th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Justin Turner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Justin Turner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate this year. His .291 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .252.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate this year. His .291 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .252.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Alejandro Kirk has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.66 ft/sec to 24.33 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Alejandro Kirk has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.66 ft/sec to 24.33 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

E. Clement
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an edge in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's quickness has improved this year. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.84 ft/sec now. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ernie Clement grades out in the 99th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .328.

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an edge in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's quickness has improved this year. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.84 ft/sec now. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ernie Clement grades out in the 99th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .328.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alec Bohm has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .414.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Alec Bohm will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alec Bohm has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .414.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens has an average exit velocity of 90.4 mph, which is one of the best in MLB at the 79th percentile.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens has an average exit velocity of 90.4 mph, which is one of the best in MLB at the 79th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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