Toronto @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
TOR vs PHI Picks
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TOR vs PHI Consensus Picks
More Consensus
62% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksTOR 359, PHI 575
TOR vs PHI Props
Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kevin Kiermaier has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage today.
Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Davis Schneider will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 8th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.
Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

When it comes to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bo Bichette is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge in today's matchup.
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have the upper hand in today's game. Garrett Stubbs will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Garrett Stubbs's 22.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 97th percentile.
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Edmundo Sosa will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably quick, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.48 ft/sec this year.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Alec Bohm's quickness has declined this season. His 26.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.96 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .414 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been lucky given the .094 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. George Springer has been cold of late, limping his way to a .261 wOBA in the last 7 days. With a .205 batting average this year, George Springer has performed in the 24th percentile.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Turner in today's matchup. Justin Turner has been lucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .277 BA is inflated compared to his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Justin Turner ranks in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .300.
Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to worse offense. Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage against Whit Merrifield in today's matchup. Whit Merrifield has recorded a .299 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Whit Merrifield's 2.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this season. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.96 ft/sec now. Johan Rojas has compiled a .345 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto's 11.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) grades out in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today's game.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Daulton Varsho has been very fortunate this year. His .342 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 96th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in MLB.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ernie Clement will have an edge in today's matchup. Ernie Clement's quickness has improved this year. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.84 ft/sec now. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ernie Clement grades out in the 99th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .328.
Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens has an average exit velocity of 90.4 mph, which is one of the best in MLB at the 79th percentile.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Alejandro Kirk will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Alejandro Kirk has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.66 ft/sec to 24.33 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have an advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate this year. His .291 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .252.
Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Danny Jansen with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Danny Jansen ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).
TOR vs PHI Trends
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 129 games (+10.19 Units / 7% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 126 games (-28.06 Units / -19% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 125 games (-27.02 Units / -15% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 129 games (-24.00 Units / -16% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 113 games (-21.55 Units / -17% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.26 Units / -21% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Run Line in 39 of their last 72 games (+9.70 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-15.07 Units / -29% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-14.10 Units / -14% ROI)
TOR vs PHI Top User Picks
More PicksToronto Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | hackorama | 8-2-0 | +18620 |
2 | CitoGMoney | 6-4-0 | +17880 |
3 | accxmass | 7-3-0 | +15905 |
4 | Rossi35 | 5-5-0 | +15300 |
5 | captty55 | 5-5-0 | +14115 |
6 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +13835 |
7 | forkball | 6-4-0 | +13585 |
8 | rapa76 | 6-4-0 | +12985 |
9 | djobie | 7-3-0 | +12310 |
10 | Icthefuture1 | 5-5-0 | +12130 |
All Blue Jays Money Leaders |
Philadelphia Team Leaders
Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
---|---|---|---|
1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
All Phillies Money Leaders |