Los Angeles @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an advantage today. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Mookie Betts projects as the 7th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mookie Betts's 12.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Mookie Betts has an average exit velocity of 92.4 mph, which is one of the best in the league at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Arraez has had some very good luck this year. His .327 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.

Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, James Outman will have an edge today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.261) suggests that James Outman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .244 actual wOBA. James Outman has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile). James Outman has recorded a .321 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Over the past 7 days, Andy Pages has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .357. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is remarkably quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Max Muncy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron in today's matchup. Max Muncy's 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Max Muncy's 95.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Kyle Higashioka will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. Kyle Higashioka's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Jose Azocar will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jose Azocar will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Azocar has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .291 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316. Based on Statcast data, Jose Azocar grades out in the 85th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274. Sporting a .258 batting average since the start of last season, Jose Azocar has performed in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 3rd-worst ballpark in the league for lefty batting average. Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman's quickness has declined this year. His 26.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.15 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has had bad variance on his side this year. His .286 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .301.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against James Paxton. Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.43 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Ha-seong Kim will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has experienced some negative variance this year with his .208 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.39 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .258 figure is quite a bit higher than his .234 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's 13.8% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Teoscar Hernandez's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 88th percentile at 95 mph. Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.7% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Petco Park. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today. Luis Campusano grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Gavin Lux will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Gavin Lux has experienced some negative variance this year. His .222 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Donovan Solano will have the upper hand in today's game. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, Donovan Solano grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343.

Shohei Ohtani has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.