Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest out of every team in action today.

Connor Wong's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Jose Siri pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest out of every team in action today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has had some very good luck this year. His .239 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .229. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for LHB batting average. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Dominic Smith is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Dominic Smith has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Harold Ramirez is projected as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Harold Ramirez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Harold Ramirez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.96 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is very athletic.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today. Kutter Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz today. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Yandy Diaz's speed has dropped off this year. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.11 ft/sec now.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays. Jarren Duran's quickness has declined this season. His 29.5 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.02 ft/sec now. Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 20th percentile at 90.3 mph.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 7th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Amed Rosario has a tough challenge today. Amed Rosario will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for LHB batting average. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Richie Palacios pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest out of every team in action today. In the last 14 days, Richie Palacios has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .357.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Romy Gonzalez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Romy Gonzalez's 13.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. Vaughn Grissom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Vaughn Grissom has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .249 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for LHB batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin today. Reese McGuire is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Jose Caballero pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 10th-weakest out of every team in action today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team in action today. Isaac Paredes's 22.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 99th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for LHB batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for righty batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in MLB. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for LHB batting average. Among all parks, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Zach Eflin in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the game for LHB batting average. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge today. Ben Rortvedt hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 6th-weakest out of every team in action today. Ben Rortvedt has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.