MLBN, Bally Sports Network, NESN

Tampa Bay @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Palacios
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+600
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+600
Projection Rating

The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Richie Palacios will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. Richie Palacios has recorded a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Richie Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Because of Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Richie Palacios will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. Richie Palacios has recorded a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+450
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+450
Projection Rating

The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Reese McGuire will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Reese McGuire will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. Wilyer Abreu will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game. Wilyer Abreu will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+340
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+340
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today. Ceddanne Rafaela is quite toolsy, checking in at the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.87 ft/sec this year.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage today. Ceddanne Rafaela is quite toolsy, checking in at the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.87 ft/sec this year.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+330
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+330
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .246 figure is a fair amount higher than his .231 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. Jose Siri has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .246 figure is a fair amount higher than his .231 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Díaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
+205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today.

Yandy Díaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 12th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caballero
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+255
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+255
Projection Rating

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.9° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Aranda
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+126
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+126
Projection Rating

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Because of Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today.

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Because of Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today.

Garrett Cooper Total Hits Props • Boston

G. Cooper
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Garrett Cooper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Garrett Cooper has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .249 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Garrett Cooper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Garrett Cooper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Cooper will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Garrett Cooper has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .249 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Rortvedt
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Ben Rortvedt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. As it relates to plate discipline, Ben Rortvedt's skill is quite good, posting a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

Ben Rortvedt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Given Cooper Criswell's huge platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Ben Rortvedt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. As it relates to plate discipline, Ben Rortvedt's skill is quite good, posting a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 87th percentile.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Dominic Smith has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Dominic Smith has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Jarren Duran will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. Tyler O'Neill will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. Tyler O'Neill will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge today.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.1% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in baseball.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.1% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 22.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in baseball.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Vaughn Grissom has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Vaughn Grissom has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .238 mark is deflated compared to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Vaughn Grissom has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Vaughn Grissom will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Vaughn Grissom has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .238 mark is deflated compared to his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Connor Wong is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Connor Wong has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .383.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Connor Wong has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .383.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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