San Diego @ Atlanta Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have an advantage in today's game. Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #5 field in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Jarred Kelenic will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron in today's game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today. Orlando Arcia has recorded a .353 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Zack Short hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Zack Short will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%.

Travis d'Arnaud is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Travis d'Arnaud will hold that advantage in today's game.

Batting from the same side that Max Fried throws from, Luis Arraez encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Luis Arraez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez today. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Matt Waldron The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team on the slate today. Ozzie Albies's footspeed has dropped off this year. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.41 ft/sec now. Ozzie Albies has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), placing in the 2nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team on the slate today. Michael Harris II is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of San Diego (#1-best on the slate). Michael Harris II's speed has declined this year. His 28.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.03 ft/sec now. Michael Harris II and his 5.3° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 5th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game.

Matt Waldron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team on the slate today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks in just the 14th percentile with a 7.4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Ha-seong Kim will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried in today's game. With a 1.28 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #5 field in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Jake Cronenworth has compiled a .361 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jackson Merrill's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 84%. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Max Fried in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Among all major league parks, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the highest humidity on the slate today at 90%. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Jose Azocar will have an edge in today's matchup.

Austin Riley has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.