Washington @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Jesse Winker has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 23.52 ft/sec to 25.98 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Jesse Winker has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.2° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (80th percentile). In terms of plate discipline, Jesse Winker's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.9 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 75th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Victor Robles will have the upper hand today. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles finds himself in the 82nd percentile. Posting a 1.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Victor Robles has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile. Victor Robles has recorded a .273 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Castellanos's true offensive talent to be a .320, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 difference between that figure and his actual .255 wOBA.

Riley Adams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand today. Riley Adams has really hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.8 mph) put him among MLB's best: in the 87th percentile since the start of last season. Riley Adams is in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Cristian Pache will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cristian Pache will hold that advantage today. Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 76th percentile at 93.9 mph.

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Johan Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage today. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.89 ft/sec now. Johan Rojas has posted a .347 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Edmundo Sosa pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.56 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is very fast.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Bryce Harper will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Bryce Harper has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryce Harper will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today's game. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. J.T. Realmuto will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Sporting a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, CJ Abrams finds himself in the 75th percentile.

Joey Meneses's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Joey Meneses will have an advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Meneses's true offensive skill to be a .299, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .048 disparity between that mark and his actual .251 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ildemaro Vargas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Cristopher Sanchez today. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ildemaro Vargas is ranked in the 75th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Ildemaro Vargas's skill is quite good, posting a 0.87 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 100th percentile.

Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .114 difference between that figure and his actual .185 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) implies that Jacob Young has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .257 actual batting average. Posting a .323 BABIP since the start of last season, Jacob Young is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Whit Merrifield's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Whit Merrifield will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Whit Merrifield has had some very poor luck given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Nick Senzel is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nick Senzel will have an edge today.