Seattle @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Josh Rojas is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand today. Josh Rojas has been hot in recent games, posting a .365 wOBA over the last two weeks. Josh Rojas has recorded a .332 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the majors. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .223 figure is a fair amount lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Dominic Canzone's 11.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Dominic Canzone's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 84th percentile at 94.9 mph.

Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Posting a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays grades out in the 81st percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore has posted a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 86th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Dylan Moore's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) grades out in the 96th percentile at 98 mph. Dylan Moore and his 19.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season. Dylan Moore has compiled a .331 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Seby Zavala has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Batting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Jordan Westburg meets a tough challenge in today's game. Jordan Westburg pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg's true offensive ability to be a .321, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .052 difference between that mark and his actual .373 wOBA.

Among all major league parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF fences are the deepest. Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Julio Rodriguez will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Julio Rodriguez today. Julio Rodriguez grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season). As it relates to plate discipline, Julio Rodriguez's talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.65 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 15th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan O'Hearn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Cal Raleigh's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile with a 19.9° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the majors.

Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand today. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky given the .059 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes today. Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Since the start of last season, Luke Raley's 13.2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mitch Haniger is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Mitch Haniger and his 19.9% rank in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage today. Jorge Mateo has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .225 BA is quite a bit lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jorge Mateo has been great at making hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him as one of the game's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season. Jorge Mateo is quite toolsy, grading out in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.97 ft/sec this year.

Luis Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in the majors. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage today. Adley Rutschman has been hot of late, posting a .359 wOBA in the past 14 days.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Santander's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the league since the start of last season: 76th percentile. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. James McCann will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that James McCann has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .221 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball James McCann has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph (an advanced stat to study power), ranking in the 79th percentile.