MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 3, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.65 @ 5.65

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Giants vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.65

+143

o8.5 -114

+1.5 -152

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.65

-153

u8.5 +101

-1.5 +140

Toronto @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.75 @ 3.97

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Blue Jays vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.75

-107

o7.5 -125

-1.5 +160

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.97

-107

u8.5 -125

+1.5 -185

Chi. White Sox @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.86 @ 4.62

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

White Sox vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.86

+143

o8.0 -122

+1.5 -148

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.62

-153

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +140

Milwaukee @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.43 @ 4.24

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Brewers vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.43

-108

o8.0 -115

-1.5 +152

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.24

+103

u8.5 -113

+1.5 -178

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
o0.5+216
Boston @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.07 @ 4.35

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Red Sox vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.07

-122

o8.0 -125

-1.5 +135

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.35

+120

u8.5 -110

+1.5 -149

Top Projection Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+117
Miami @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.18 @ 5.21

KC
KC logo
KC

Marlins vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.18

-109

o9.0 -110

-1.5 +145

KC logo
KC
KC

5.21

+100

u9.5 -135

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+162
Tampa Bay @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.31 @ 3.87

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Rays vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.31

-121

o7.5 -114

-1.5 +140

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.87

+110

u8.0 -115

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Athletics @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.01 @ 4.51

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Athletics vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.01

+183

o7.5 -105

+1.5 -130

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.51

-203

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +115

Top Projection Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
o0.5+163
St. Louis @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.10 @ 4.60

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Cardinals vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.10

+255

o7.5 -110

+2.0 -117

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.60

-285

u8.0 -115

-2.0 -105

Top Projection Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
o0.5+173
Detroit @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13 @ 4.13

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Tigers vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13

-110

o8.5 +155

-1.5 +165

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.13

-110

--

+1.5 -190

San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Thu, Sep 3 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The #4 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which often leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.
Total Home Runs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Projection 0.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blade Tidwell in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.
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Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR @ Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE Thu, Sep 3 • 1:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

If the Toronto Blue Jays want to build momentum after their gargantuan 11-0 win last night, Jose Soriano is the right man to do it. Across 46 plate appearances (we love a good sample size), the Cleveland Guardians own just a .213 xBA and .332 xSLG, which includes limiting Steven Kwan to a .159 xBA. That'll play for Toronto in a must-win game. On the other side, the Jays are looking at Tanner Bibee like fresh bacon on Sunday morning after their offensive outburst. The beast that is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. might've woken up last night after going 3-for-4 with 5 RBI and a homer; he won't be slowing down today, either, rocking a .744 xSLG against Bibee.

Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 54 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in the game for right-handed BABIP.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.
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Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW @ Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU Thu, Sep 3 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Miguel Vargas ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.. Out of every team today, the 14th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.
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Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail Chicago Cubs image thumbnail u8.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Trevor Knapp logo
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Kevin Gausman has a chance to right the ship when he faces a Brewers club batting just .200/.252/.323 against him. With Logan Henderson sporting a BB% in the 87th percentile and a K% in the 92nd, expect runs to be at a premium at Wrigley.

Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS @ Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL (+119)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

There's a strong edge on the Baltimore Orioles at the current price, and that's ultimately what matters when buying a probability in the market. The Orioles are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 51% favorite. We usually see an edge of only 2-3%, so this 6% difference is definitely worth paying attention to. The Red Sox are sending left-hander Jake Bennett to the mound. While he's dominated left-handed hitters this season, he hasn't fared as well against right-handed bats. Baltimore's lineup features plenty of right-handed power from spots two through six, including Luis Robert Jr., whom the Orioles acquired on August 31. Small details can create an edge, and Robert's addition matters in this matchup. He has historically hit left-handed pitching better than right-handed pitching, and his presence lengthens Baltimore's lineup with another right-handed bat that profiles well against Bennett.

Total Bases
Jarren Duran logo
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 53 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Jarren Duran will have the upper hand today.. Among every team in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.. Jarren Duran has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure.
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Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Thu, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Joe Mack logo
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #6 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Joe Mack will have an edge today.
Total Home Runs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Projection 0.19
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Thu, Sep 3 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane McClanahan throws from, Jake Burger will have an edge in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Thu, Sep 3 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brock Rodden logo
Brock Rodden o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. Brock Rodden pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Athletics.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brock Rodden will hold that advantage in today's game.. Brock Rodden has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well recently, posting a 25.3° angle on such balls in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total Bases
Cole Young logo
Cole Young u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Young is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 park in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The weather forecast projects the best pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Cole Young has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 78.9-mph over the past week.
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St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD Thu, Sep 3 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Tommy Edman logo
Tommy Edman u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dodger Stadium grades out as the #24 ballpark in the majors for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 6th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Tommy Edman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.3-mph EV last year has fallen off to 85.2-mph.. Over the last two weeks, Tommy Edman has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 85.3-mph on his flyballs.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tommy Edman's true offensive ability to be a .296, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .031 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .327 wOBA.
Strikeouts Thrown
Tarik Skubal logo
Tarik Skubal u8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-158)
Projection 7.6
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tarik Skubal's four-seamer percentage has spiked by 6.6% from last year to this one (29.5% to 36.1%) .
View 3 Picks
Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET @ Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.