MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 16, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

WAS @

PIT Thu, Apr 16 • 12:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+195)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

u0.5 +195

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +195

u0.5 +185

u0.5 +176

u0.5 +175

Luis Garcia Jr. has been pinch hit for 52% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally bad for long-balls.. Extreme flyball batters like Luis Garcia Jr. are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Braxton Ashcraft.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Garcia Jr. in today's game.. Luis Garcia Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

+195 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Luis Garcia Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-144)

Projection 1.03

Best Odds

u1.5 -144

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -144

u1.5 -170

u1.5 -155

u1.5 -150

u1.5 -170

Luis Garcia Jr. has been pinch hit for 52% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. The #1 field in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park has the 6th-tallest average fence height in the league.. PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally bad for long-balls.. Extreme flyball batters like Luis Garcia Jr. are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Braxton Ashcraft.

-144 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

SF @

CIN Thu, Apr 16 • 12:40 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Matt Chapman u0.5 Total Hits (+160)

Projection 0.79

Best Odds

u0.5 +160

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +151

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +120

u0.5 +153

u0.5 +155

Batting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 11th-deepest CF fences today.. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman in today's game.. Matt Chapman has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9.8% rate last season has dropped off to 4.2% this season.. Matt Chapman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 15.2% to 6.1%.

+160 at bet365

Total Hits

Eugenio Suarez u0.5 Total Hits (+160)

Projection 0.81

Best Odds

u0.5 +160

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +135

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +120

u0.5 +137

u0.5 +145

Eugenio Suarez's BABIP talent is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Landen Roupp will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today's matchup.. Eugenio Suarez's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 90.2-mph average last season has dropped to 84-mph.. In the last week, Eugenio Suarez's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 93.8 mph to 74.6 mph.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°, Eugenio Suarez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) in the last 14 days.

+160 at bet365

View 8 Picks

KC @

DET Thu, Apr 16 • 1:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+145)

Projection 0.66

Best Odds

u0.5 +153

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +153

u0.5 +125

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +145

Jahmai Jones is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences in the majors.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 6th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.

+153 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jahmai Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-180)

Projection 0.66

Best Odds

u1.5 -180

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -186

u1.5 -225

u1.5 -190

u1.5 -180

-180 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

LAA @

NYY Thu, Apr 16 • 1:35 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Bryce Teodosio u0.5 Total Hits (-115)

Projection 0.54

Best Odds

u0.5 -112

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 -113

u0.5 -120

u0.5 -112

u0.5 -115

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryce Teodosio ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Bryce Teodosio is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #27 ballpark in the majors for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.. Bryce Teodosio will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

-112 at Caesars

Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+100)

Projection 2.25

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +100

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 6th-shortest fences in MLB.. The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.

+100 at BetMGM

View 8 Picks

TOR @

MIL Thu, Apr 16 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Nathan Lukes u0.5 Total Hits (+175)

Projection 0.81

Best Odds

u0.5 +175

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +159

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +175

u0.5 +156

u0.5 +160

This year, Nathan Lukes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 35% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Typically, bats like Nathan Lukes who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brandon Sproat.. Among all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Lukes in today's game.

+175 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +145

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +130

Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. This matchup is expected to have the 6th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+145 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

TB @

CHW Thu, Apr 16 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Tanner Murray u0.5 Total Hits (+130)

Projection 0.66

Best Odds

u0.5 +130

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +114

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +130

u0.5 +119

u0.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tanner Murray in the 11th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Tanner Murray is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Tanner Murray is not very fast, ranking in the 22nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.74 ft/sec this year.

+130 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.94

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -111

o1.5 +125

o1.5 -120

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Considering Jordan Leasure's large platoon split, Yandy Diaz will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

+125 at bet365

View 10 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

ATH Thu, Apr 16 • 3:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +115

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +135

u0.5 +125

u0.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Carlos Cortes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 48% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. In today's matchup, Carlos Cortes is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (89th percentile).. This year, there has been a decline in Carlos Cortes's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.6 ft/sec currently.. Carlos Cortes has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, striking balls between -4° and 26° just 33.3% of the time over the past 7 days.

+150 at bet365

Total Bases

Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 2.12

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #4 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

+135 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

BAL @

CLE Thu, Apr 16 • 6:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Coby Mayo u0.5 Total Hits (+115)

Projection 0.66

Best Odds

u0.5 +118

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +118

u0.5 +115

u0.5 +100

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +115

Coby Mayo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. 24% of the time that Coby Mayo has started against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team playing today.

+118 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Jeremiah Jackson u0.5 Total Hits (+180)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u0.5 +180

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +180

u0.5 +165

u0.5 +160

Jeremiah Jackson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.. Jeremiah Jackson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremiah Jackson today.. Jeremiah Jackson's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 90.8-mph mark last season has fallen to 87.7-mph.

+180 at bet365

View 10 Picks

COL @

HOU Thu, Apr 16 • 8:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Edouard Julien u0.5 Total Hits (+145)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u0.5 +145

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +115

u0.5 +145

u0.5 +125

38% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #22 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather forecast predicts the 7th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today.

+145 at Caesars

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-115)

Projection 2.37

Best Odds

o1.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -155

o1.5 -122

o1.5 -120

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for HRs.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Juan Mejia today.

-115 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SEA @

SD Thu, Apr 16 • 8:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

SEA (-118)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 15 hours ago

-120

-115

Right-hander Luis Castillo has had the Padres’ number over the years, limiting San Diego hitters to a .206 batting average and .521 OPS. With the Mariners’ offense set to face the sputtering Walker Buehler, expect Seattle to prevail at Petco.

Total Hits

Luis Campusano u0.5 Total Hits (+121)

Projection 0.67

Best Odds

u0.5 +121

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +121

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +113

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. This matchup is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+121 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

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