Toronto @ Detroit Picks & Props

Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 2nd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Casey Mize will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette today.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. This season, there has been a decline in Gio Urshela's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.18 ft/sec last year to 25.54 ft/sec currently. Gio Urshela has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .291 rate is a good deal higher than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Gio Urshela's 87.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season. As it relates to plate discipline, Gio Urshela's ability is quite bad, sporting a 4.04 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 17th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Sporting a .380 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Davis Schneider finds himself in the 97th percentile for hitting ability.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today's game. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Casey Mize will hold the platoon advantage over Isiah Kiner-Falefa today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Isiah Kiner-Falefa grades out in the 7th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .201.

Daniel Vogelbach is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Daniel Vogelbach will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an edge today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Daulton Varsho has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .208 rate is a good deal lower than his .213 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 96th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage against Danny Jansen in today's matchup. Danny Jansen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 5th-deepest LF fences today. Danny Jansen will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Danny Jansen's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.12 ft/sec last year to 26.46 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Mark Canha is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today. Carson Kelly will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

George Springer has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, George Springer will have a disadvantage in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer today. With a .243 wOBA over the past 14 days, George Springer has been struggling at the plate.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage today. Over the past 14 days, Wenceel Perez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .343. Wenceel Perez is very fast, checking in at the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.41 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, Riley Greene is in the 93rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Jake Rogers will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 92nd percentile at 95.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Spencer Torkelson will have the handedness advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson's true offensive talent to be a .326, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .056 difference between that mark and his actual .270 wOBA.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Placing in the 86th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has put up a .326 BABIP since the start of last season.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Justin Turner and his 15.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season. With a 1.74 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 81st percentile.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Cavan Biggio will hold the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Cavan Biggio and his 23% rank in the 100th percentile since the start of last season. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play, and Cavan Biggio's 26.5° mark (79th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Javier Baez will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's game. Javier Baez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .203 rate is a fair amount lower than his .282 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Matt Vierling is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Matt Vierling will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Matt Vierling will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers. Ernie Clement has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 28.36 ft/sec to 28.97 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). In terms of his batting average, Ernie Clement has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .293 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .328.

Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. Andy Ibanez will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Andy Ibanez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Andy Ibanez and his 17.9% rank in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.