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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 19, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+143 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -145 
|
|
4.92 |
-150
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +145 
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 home starts.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.54 |
-129
|
o8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.72 |
+125 
|
u8.5 -104 
|
+1.5 -140
|
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 games as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Under is 7-0 in Mets last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Stocks last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Stocks last 5 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.95 |
-104 
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
5.00 |
+103
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -160
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
o1.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+130
|
o7.5 -130 
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.35 |
-140
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
+138
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.00 |
-140
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +145
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 |
+115
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
5.63 |
-121
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Alcantaras last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-0 in Phillies last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Nolas last 8 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
o0.5+158
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.77 |
-116
|
o9.0 -112
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
4.68 |
+110
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -145
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 home games.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
o1.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.06 |
+189
|
o7.5 -113
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.84 |
-195
|
u7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +110
|
Toronto
- Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Rasmussens last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts.
- Over is 7-1 in Rays last 8 overall.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.64 |
+167
|
o7.0 -130
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.83 |
-174
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +125
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+132
|
o8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.85 |
-140
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +155
|
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 8-1 in Cardinals last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Reds are 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.69 |
+120
|
o8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.13 |
-128
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+110
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.09 |
-117
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +180
|
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5+300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+127
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
4.16 |
-128
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Cavallis last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Nationals are 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Rangers last 8 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+261)
o0.5+265
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.19 |
+145
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.68 |
-153
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +135
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 road games.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.88 |
-185
|
o11.5 +105
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.18 |
+175
|
u11.5 -115
|
+1.5 +110 
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.07 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 5 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.43 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.65 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Williams' last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.42 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.34 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.63 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-2 in Kirbys last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Gassers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.86 |
-115
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.08 |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.16 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 road starts.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.96 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a road underdog.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
DET
@
PIT
Wed, Aug 19 • 12:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jackson Jobe in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Jackson Jobe throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge today.. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
SD
@
NYM
Wed, Aug 19 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Citi Field's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robert Stock in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Stock has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Robert Stock in today's matchup... and even better, Stock has a large platoon split.. Jake Cronenworth has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
ATL
@
MIN
Wed, Aug 19 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.
CHW
@
CHC
Wed, Aug 19 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+238)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total
o8.5 (+109)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
AZ
@
BOS
Wed, Aug 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+900)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The shallowest left field dimensions in the league are found in Fenway Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
MIA
@
PHI
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+158)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
NYY
@
BAL
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-121)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Chris Bassitt throws a ton of different pitches, and not many have been plus pitches for him this season. However, his sweeper has been one of his better strikeout and put-away pitches, posting a +1 run value. The problem for Bassitt is that the pitch loses some of its effectiveness against a Yankees lineup that could have as many as seven left-handed hitters. The sweeper will be breaking right into the barrels of those left-handed bats, potentially taking away Bassitt's primary put-away pitch. Camden Yards also won't do Bassitt any favors, as it's much easier for left-handed hitters to hit the ball out to right field than it is for right-handed hitters to pull a home run to left. The Yankees are trading as a 54-cent favorite on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 57-cent favorite, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total
o9.5 (+100)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
TOR
@
TB
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total
u8.0 (-120)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
After struggling to begin the season, Scherzer has found his footing over his last three starts, allowing just four earned runs across his last 16 1/3 innings pitched. He continues to shine while the Jays battle for the final Wild Card spot, and his chase rate has actually been elite, leaving hitters guessing at a 34% clip. He should do enough to keep us under the number here.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
SF
@
CLE
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 2nd-best venue in MLB for left-handed base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs
Angel Genao o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field grades out as the #2 field in MLB for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Angel Genao will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
STL
@
CIN
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JB
Joshua Baez u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase Burns will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joshua Baez today.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.. Joshua Baez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Great American Ball Park ranks as the #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the highest humidity of the day at 90%.. JJ Bleday pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage in today's game.
ATH
@
KC
Wed, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Maikel Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best park in MLB for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate today (77%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.
SEA
@
MIL
Wed, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brendan Donovan o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. American Family Field profiles as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fences in the league.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 9th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field profiles as the #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest fences in the league.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Dustin May.
WAS
@
TEX
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the game.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli in today's game.. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, CJ Abrams ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge today.
LAA
@
HOU
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors are found in Minute Maid Park.
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Hitting from the opposite that Ethan Pecko throws from, Josh Lowe will have an advantage in today's game.. Josh Lowe has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.
LAD
@
COL
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ben Rortvedt o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Total RBIs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the league.. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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