MASN, NESN

Boston @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand today. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand today. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+165
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's game. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+129
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+152
Projection Rating

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Wilyer Abreu is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+129
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+146
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+146
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kutter Crawford today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+139
Projection Rating

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. David Hamilton will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+116
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+116
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Boston

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-123
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-123
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Vaughn Grissom has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Vaughn Grissom has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) implies that Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average. Jorge Mateo can really hit the cover off the ball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) put him among MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) implies that Jorge Mateo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average. Jorge Mateo can really hit the cover off the ball. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) put him among MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Wong's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Gunnar Henderson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's game. Using Statcast metrics, Jordan Westburg is in the 91st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-best for hitting of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's game. Using Statcast metrics, Jordan Westburg is in the 91st percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .286.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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