Arizona @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Blake Walston today. This year, there has been a decline in Francisco Lindor's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.16 ft/sec last year to 27.6 ft/sec currently. Francisco Lindor has recorded a .252 BABIP this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

Citi Field grades out as the #30 venue in the majors for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Ketel Marte's footspeed has fallen off this year. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.9 ft/sec now. Ketel Marte ranks in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Jake McCarthy has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best hitter in MLB. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge in today's matchup. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Starling Marte's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Extreme groundball hitters like Starling Marte usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Slade Cecconi.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Corbin Carroll has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's game. Harrison Bader has compiled a .276 batting average this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Blake Walston will have the handedness advantage against Jeff McNeil in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Kevin Newman will have an edge in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the same side that Blake Walston throws from, Brandon Nimmo will be in a tough position today. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Tomas Nido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Tomas Nido are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Slade Cecconi. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tomas Nido will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Citi Field. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today's game.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers. Mark Vientos's 92.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in baseball since the start of last season: 95th percentile.

Randal Grichuk has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an advantage today. Randal Grichuk pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.