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Minnesota @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Buxton
designated hitter DH • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Byron Buxton will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game. Yordan Alvarez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .400 — a .061 gap.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game. Yordan Alvarez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .400 — a .061 gap.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have the upper hand today. Ryan Jeffers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have the upper hand today. Ryan Jeffers pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Santana
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Framber Valdez. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. With a 1.93 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Framber Valdez. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. With a 1.93 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Framber Valdez. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Willi Castro has notched a .341 BABIP this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Framber Valdez. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Willi Castro has notched a .341 BABIP this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 12th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Tucker has been hot lately, tallying a .405 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Tucker projects as the 12th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Tucker has been hot lately, tallying a .405 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Carlos Correa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .259 figure is a fair amount lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Carlos Correa is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Carlos Correa has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .259 figure is a fair amount lower than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston

V. Caratini
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-134
Projection Rating

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Extreme flyball batters like Victor Caratini tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Victor Caratini will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Victor Caratini's 91.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in baseball since the start of last season: 87th percentile.

Victor Caratini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Extreme flyball batters like Victor Caratini tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Victor Caratini will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Victor Caratini's 91.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in baseball since the start of last season: 87th percentile.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-213
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Extreme flyball batters like Jeremy Pena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Extreme flyball batters like Jeremy Pena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan. Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Jose Abreu will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, posting a .136 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .174 difference. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jose Abreu has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph (a reliable standard to study power), checking in at the 76th percentile. Jose Abreu has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), grading out in the 98th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jose Abreu will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Abreu has been unlucky this year, posting a .136 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .174 difference. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jose Abreu has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.3 mph (a reliable standard to study power), checking in at the 76th percentile. Jose Abreu has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), grading out in the 98th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Altuve has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 16.2° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (87th percentile).

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jose Altuve has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 16.2° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (87th percentile).

Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Miranda
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Jose Miranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jose Miranda will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Jose Miranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Placing in the 81st percentile, Jose Miranda has posted a .276 batting average this year.

Jose Miranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jose Miranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Jose Miranda will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Jose Miranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Placing in the 81st percentile, Jose Miranda has posted a .276 batting average this year.

Jonathan Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Singleton
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Joe Ryan throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jon Singleton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Jonathan Singleton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Hitting from the opposite that Joe Ryan throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jon Singleton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Vazquez's true offensive talent to be a .263, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .092 difference between that mark and his actual .171 wOBA. Christian Vazquez is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Christian Vazquez will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Vazquez's true offensive talent to be a .263, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .092 difference between that mark and his actual .171 wOBA. Christian Vazquez is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Manuel Margot is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Manuel Margot will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manuel Margot's true offensive ability to be a .298, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 disparity between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Manuel Margot is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Manuel Margot will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Manuel Margot's true offensive ability to be a .298, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 disparity between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Jake Meyers's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Meyers has been hot lately, posting a .366 wOBA over the past week. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jake Meyers's BABIP talent is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Meyers has been hot lately, posting a .366 wOBA over the past week. Jake Meyers is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) provides evidence that Alex Bregman has had bad variance on his side this year with his .219 actual batting average. Alex Bregman's 17.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 87th percentile.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) provides evidence that Alex Bregman has had bad variance on his side this year with his .219 actual batting average. Alex Bregman's 17.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 87th percentile.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hitters such as Yainer Diaz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Joe Ryan who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Yainer Diaz has had bad variance on his side this year. His .253 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264. Yainer Diaz's 11.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hitters such as Yainer Diaz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Joe Ryan who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Yainer Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Yainer Diaz has had bad variance on his side this year. His .253 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264. Yainer Diaz's 11.9% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 80th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-157
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-157
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an advantage in today's game. Kyle Farmer has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 BA is considerably lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Kyle Farmer has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.4° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (92nd percentile).

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all parks, Minute Maid Park's left field fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an advantage in today's game. Kyle Farmer has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 BA is considerably lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Kyle Farmer has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.4° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (92nd percentile).

Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Dubon
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Mauricio Dubon has compiled a .293 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 95th percentile, Mauricio Dubon has put up a .290 batting average since the start of last season.

Mauricio Dubon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Mauricio Dubon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Mauricio Dubon has compiled a .293 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 95th percentile, Mauricio Dubon has put up a .290 batting average since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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