SNLA, SDPA

San Diego @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the best out of every team in action today. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .381 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .022 discrepancy.

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Michael King will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the best out of every team in action today. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .381 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .359 — a .022 discrepancy.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the best out of every team in action today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez's true offensive skill to be a .320, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .060 gap between that mark and his actual .380 wOBA. Utilizing Statcast data, Salvador Perez is in the 22nd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298.

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Batting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the best out of every team in action today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez's true offensive skill to be a .320, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .060 gap between that mark and his actual .380 wOBA. Utilizing Statcast data, Salvador Perez is in the 22nd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .298.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.407) suggests that Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.407) suggests that Jackson Merrill has had bad variance on his side this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-204
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-204
Projection Rating

Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Maikel Garcia will be in a tough position today. Maikel Garcia has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the best out of every team in action today. Maikel Garcia is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of San Diego (#1-best of the day). Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Hitting from the same side that Michael King throws from, Maikel Garcia will be in a tough position today. Maikel Garcia has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's deepest RF fences in today's game. The San Diego Padres infield defense grades out as the best out of every team in action today. Maikel Garcia is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of San Diego (#1-best of the day). Maikel Garcia's 4.5% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best hitter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 7th-best hitter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cole Ragans.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Cole Ragans.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 BA is quite a bit lower than his .296 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jake Cronenworth has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .262 BA is quite a bit lower than his .296 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-175
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-175
Projection Rating

Cole Ragans will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, putting up a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .019 difference. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Cole Ragans will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Luis Arraez has been lucky this year, putting up a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .019 difference. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Velázquez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today.

Nelson Velázquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nelson Velazquez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Nelson Velazquez will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.

Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Campusano
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Luis Campusano will have the upper hand in today's game.

Luis Campusano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Luis Campusano will have the upper hand in today's game.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin has notched a .288 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin has notched a .288 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Solano
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Donovan Solano's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Donovan Solano's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's game.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Loftin
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nick Loftin will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nick Loftin's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.87 ft/sec now.

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nick Loftin will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nick Loftin's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.87 ft/sec now.

Jose Azocar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Azocar
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Jose Azocar will have the upper hand today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Azocar has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .269 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

Jose Azocar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Jose Azocar will have the upper hand today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Azocar has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .269 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Renfroe
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Renfroe has been unlucky given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Hunter Renfroe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Hunter Renfroe has been unlucky given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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