NBC Bay Area, MLBN, ARID

San Francisco @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+129
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
+129
Projection Rating

Among all major league parks, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Hitting from the same side that Jordan Hicks throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop fly outs. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Among all major league parks, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Hitting from the same side that Jordan Hicks throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop fly outs. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • San Francisco

A. Slater
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-111
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-111
Projection Rating

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Austin Slater

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Austin Slater has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team playing today. Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+118
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+118
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Mike Yastrzemski's 19.7° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 94th percentile.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Mike Yastrzemski's 19.7° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in MLB: 94th percentile.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tucker Barnhart Total Hits Props • Arizona

T. Barnhart
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+129
Projection Rating

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Tucker Barnhart will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tucker Barnhart will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Tucker Barnhart's speed has increased this year. His 23.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.39 ft/sec now.

Tucker Barnhart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Tucker Barnhart will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tucker Barnhart will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Tucker Barnhart's speed has increased this year. His 23.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.39 ft/sec now.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.428) implies that Michael Conforto has suffered from bad luck this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.428) implies that Michael Conforto has suffered from bad luck this year with his .336 actual wOBA.

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Newman
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage today. Kevin Newman has posted a .339 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kevin Newman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage today. Kevin Newman has posted a .339 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Pederson
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today's game.

Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Suárez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jordan Hicks. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Eugenio Suárez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jordan Hicks. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Curt Casali Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Casali
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Curt Casali will have the upper hand today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Curt Casali ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 21° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB.

Curt Casali

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Curt Casali will have the upper hand today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Curt Casali ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 21° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge in today's game.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge in today's game.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Heliot Ramos will have an edge in today's matchup.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Heliot Ramos will have an edge in today's matchup.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Fitzgerald
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tyler Fitzgerald is quite fast, placing in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year.

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Tyler Fitzgerald is quite fast, placing in the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.76 ft/sec this year.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Wilmer Flores will have the upper hand today. Wilmer Flores has been unlucky this year, notching a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .048 discrepancy. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 98th percentile with a 21.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the league.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Wilmer Flores will have the upper hand today. Wilmer Flores has been unlucky this year, notching a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .048 discrepancy. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilmer Flores ranks in the 98th percentile with a 21.6° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in the league.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-256
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Patrick Bailey is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47% rate since the start of last season). Patrick Bailey has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Patrick Bailey is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47% rate since the start of last season). Patrick Bailey has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Hicks in today's game.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Hicks in today's game.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

L. Matos
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-222
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Luis Matos will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Matos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Luis Matos will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Thairo Estrada will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Thairo Estrada will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's game.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Matt Chapman will have an edge today.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Matt Chapman will have an edge today.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Among all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Casey Schmitt has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .209 mark is quite a bit lower than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Casey Schmitt has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .209 mark is quite a bit lower than his .224 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Pavin Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today's game. Pavin Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Pavin Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Hicks throws from, Pavin Smith will have an edge in today's game. Pavin Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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