Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
Among all major league parks, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 22%. Hitting from the same side that Jordan Hicks throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Checking in at the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to easy pop fly outs. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season ranks in the 24th percentile.