Colorado @ St. Louis props

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for 12% of the time. Alec Burleson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Alec Burleson has not been good at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) rank him as one of the game's worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 13th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.49 ft/sec this year, Alec Burleson is not very athletic.

Hitting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Masyn Winn faces a tough challenge today. In today's matchup, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.3% rate (86th percentile). The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn's true offensive skill to be a .293, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .051 gap between that mark and his actual .344 wOBA. Utilizing Statcast data, Masyn Winn grades out in the 12th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .275.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Elehuris Montero hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Checking in at the 83rd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Elehuris Montero demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important ability for achieving a high batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brenton Doyle has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.3° angle is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (80th percentile). In notching a .328 BABIP this year, Brenton Doyle is ranked in the 78th percentile.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have an advantage in today's game. Charlie Blackmon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.347) implies that Charlie Blackmon has had bad variance on his side this year with his .296 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .290 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray in today's game. Ryan McMahon's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Ryan McMahon's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 95.5 mph.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Elias Diaz ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.6% rate since the start of last season). Elias Diaz has posted a .279 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Ezequiel Tovar and his 49.8% since the start of last season rank in the 96th percentile by this measure. Ezequiel Tovar has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key talent for batting average), checking in at the 98th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brendan Rodgers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brendan Rodgers's 10.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Ivan Herrera will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Ivan Herrera's quickness has improved this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.38 ft/sec now.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Jake Cave will have an advantage today. Jake Cave hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Cave and his 18.2° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 85th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season. Checking in at the 93rd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Jake Cave demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core skill for achieving a high batting average.

Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's game. Brendan Donovan has notched a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 94th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today. Matt Carpenter's 11.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile since the start of last season. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23.5° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Sean Bouchard ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .352. Since the start of last season, Sean Bouchard's 20% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. Sean Bouchard's 100.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Sean Bouchard ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (36% rate since the start of last season).

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.281) may lead us to conclude that Nolan Arenado has been lucky this year with his .298 actual wOBA. Nolan Arenado's 16.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the game: 84th percentile.