NBC Bay Area, MLBN, Bally Sports Network

San Francisco @ Texas props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Conforto has been unlucky this year. His .337 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .429.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Conforto has been unlucky this year. His .337 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .429.

Brett Wisely Total Hits Props • San Francisco

B. Wisely
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

Brett Wisely will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Brett Wisely is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Brett Wisely and his 23.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 96th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

Brett Wisely

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Brett Wisely will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Brett Wisely is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Brett Wisely and his 23.7° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 96th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Patrick Bailey grades out in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47% rate since the start of last season). Patrick Bailey has compiled a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Patrick Bailey has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Patrick Bailey grades out in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47% rate since the start of last season). Patrick Bailey has compiled a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Heliot Ramos's 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Heliot Ramos has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.7 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), placing in the 83rd percentile. Posting a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Heliot Ramos finds himself in the 87th percentile.

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Heliot Ramos's 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Heliot Ramos has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.7 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), placing in the 83rd percentile. Posting a .344 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Heliot Ramos finds himself in the 87th percentile.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas

N. Lowe
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb today. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb today. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a .346 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-121
Projection Rating

Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Yastrzemski's 19.7° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 94th percentile.

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Yastrzemski's 19.7° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 94th percentile.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corey Seager as the 9th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corey Seager as the 9th-best batter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Webb in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Josh Smith is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Josh Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Josh Smith grades out in the 87th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .347. Josh Smith's 10.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Josh H. Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge in today's matchup. Josh Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Josh Smith grades out in the 87th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .347. Josh Smith's 10.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wilmer Flores has had bad variance on his side given the .038 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306. Wilmer Flores's 21.6° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 98th percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Wilmer Flores's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.49 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 89th percentile.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Despite posting a .268 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wilmer Flores has had bad variance on his side given the .038 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306. Wilmer Flores's 21.6° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 98th percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Wilmer Flores's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.49 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 89th percentile.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .314 mark is considerably lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Matt Chapman's 17.4% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. Ranked in the 99th percentile, Matt Chapman has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (93.5-mph).

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Matt Chapman has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .314 mark is considerably lower than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Matt Chapman's 17.4% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. Ranked in the 99th percentile, Matt Chapman has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (93.5-mph).

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Extreme flyball bats like Robbie Grossman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb. Robbie Grossman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Robbie Grossman's true offensive ability to be a .308, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 deviation between that figure and his actual .271 wOBA. Robbie Grossman's 20° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 95th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Robbie Grossman's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 89th percentile.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Extreme flyball bats like Robbie Grossman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb. Robbie Grossman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Robbie Grossman's true offensive ability to be a .308, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 deviation between that figure and his actual .271 wOBA. Robbie Grossman's 20° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 95th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Robbie Grossman's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 89th percentile.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

W. Langford
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wyatt Langford's true offensive ability to be a .308, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .051 deviation between that mark and his actual .257 wOBA. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.58 ft/sec this year, Wyatt Langford is very fast.

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wyatt Langford's true offensive ability to be a .308, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .051 deviation between that mark and his actual .257 wOBA. Ranking in the 97th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.58 ft/sec this year, Wyatt Langford is very fast.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Bats such as Marcus Semien with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Marcus Semien and his 21.2% rank in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Bats such as Marcus Semien with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Marcus Semien and his 21.2% rank in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran is in the 76th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342. Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran is in the 83rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .280. Ezequiel Duran's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) has been 115.2 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran is in the 76th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342. Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran is in the 83rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .280. Ezequiel Duran's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to evaluate power) has been 115.2 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Jonah Heim and his 18.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Jonah Heim and his 18.3% rank in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) provides evidence that Jorge Soler has experienced some negative variance this year with his .215 actual batting average. Jorge Soler's 14.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jorge Soler has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced metric to study power), checking in at the 91st percentile.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) provides evidence that Jorge Soler has experienced some negative variance this year with his .215 actual batting average. Jorge Soler's 14.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jorge Soler has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.8 mph (an advanced metric to study power), checking in at the 91st percentile.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Estrada
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Thairo Estrada has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .243 figure is a good deal lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Thairo Estrada and his 46% since the start of last season rank in the 80th percentile by this measure.

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Thairo Estrada has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .243 figure is a good deal lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Thairo Estrada and his 46% since the start of last season rank in the 80th percentile by this measure.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Logan Webb in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Leody Taveras has performed in the 78th percentile for offensive ability. By putting up a .300 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Leody Taveras finds himself in the 97th percentile.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Logan Webb in this game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Leody Taveras has performed in the 78th percentile for offensive ability. By putting up a .300 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Leody Taveras finds himself in the 97th percentile.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has compiled a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 87th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Adolis Garcia's 16.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Adolis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has compiled a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 87th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Adolis Garcia's 16.2% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

Trenton Brooks Total Hits Props • San Francisco

T. Brooks
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an advantage in today's game. Trenton Brooks has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.

Trenton Brooks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an advantage in today's game. Trenton Brooks has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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