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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 6, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.43 |
-142 
|
o8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +118 
|
|
4.06 |
+135 
|
u9.0 -125
|
+1.5 -120
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Harrisons last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Harrisons last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Singers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
o0.5+161
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
-105
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.96 |
-105
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -184
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Braves last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 14-2 in their last 16 during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Nolas last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Nolas last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Nolas last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)
o0.5+236
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
-130 
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +134
|
|
3.76 |
+121
|
u7.5 -118 
|
+1.5 -148
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Bradishs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
u1.5-200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 |
+170
|
o7.0 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.64 |
-186
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +117
|
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0 in Angels last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.67 |
+150
|
o7.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.51 |
-160
|
u7.5 -135
|
-1.5 +135
|
Detroit
- Under is 8-0 in Tigers last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Jobes last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Jobes last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Williams' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Hao-Yu Lee o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+154)
o1.5+154
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-140
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.96 |
+130
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -130
|
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 10-1-1 in Cubs last 12 vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+257)
o0.5+257
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+143
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160 
|
|
4.84 |
-153
|
u8.0 -112
|
-1.5 +138
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Mets are 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Mets are 8-0 in Scotts last 8 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 6-0 in Scotts last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
o0.5+216
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.28 |
-115
|
o9.5 -105
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
5.05 |
+105
|
u10.0 -134
|
+1.5 -155
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dobnaks last 4 starts overall.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
-104
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -220
|
|
4.40 |
-105
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +175
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 8-0 in Rodriguezs last 8 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 8-0 in Rodriguezs last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-0 in Diamondbacks last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Houston
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Tim Tawa o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
o0.5+290
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.80 |
-104
|
o7.0 -141
|
+1.5 -210
|
|
4.09 |
-105
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +188
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Seymours last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Seymours last 4 starts overall.
- Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 6-0 in Gores last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in Gores last 5 home starts.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.78 |
-130
|
o11.0 -112
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
5.79 |
+120
|
u15.0 -500
|
+1.5 -130
|
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0-1 in Leahys last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gordons last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gordons last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Rockies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
o1.5+100
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
-110
|
o7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.19 |
+101
|
u7.5 -150
|
+1.5 -180
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+329)
o0.5+329
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.38 |
+173
|
o5.0 -455
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.09 |
-190
|
u7.5 -130
|
-1.5 +115
|
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 vs. American League West.
- Over is 7-0 in last 7 games as a road underdog.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0 in Mariners last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.62 |
+130
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
5.21 |
-140
|
u8.5 -108
|
-1.5 +146
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Obers last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as a home favorite.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Hudsons last 6 starts on grass.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
o0.5+168
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+186
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -122
|
|
4.73 |
-203
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +106
|
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Alvarezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Wrobleskis last 6 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
James Wood o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
o1.5+110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Braves last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 home games.
- Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-2 in Marlins last 11 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.97 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.03 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Angels last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 23-7-1 in Angels last 31 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.16 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.60 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-2 in Cubs last 9 overall.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.13 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. American League Central.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Nationals last 9 road games.
- Over is 5-1-2 in Nationals last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 home games.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-1-2 in Giants last 9 overall.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Giants last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Giants last 9 on grass.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.56 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.25 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2 in Reds last 8 games as a road favorite.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 overall.
MIL
@
CIN
Sun, Sep 6 • 12:10 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Kyle Harrison o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+125)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Reds are rarely an enjoyable team to back offensively, but this matchup presents a favorable opportunity. Milwaukee Brewers left-hander Kyle Harrison has struggled in his last few outings, posting a 6.94 ERA and 1.63 WHIP while allowing a barrel rate over 13%. Harrison also draws four elite-rated hitters and another with a strong rating in Batters-Box’s current-season dataset. Cincinnati has been swinging a hot bat lately, posting a 116 wRC+, .343 wOBA and .783 OPS over its last 12 games. The strikeouts remain a concern, but with Harrison struggling, backing the Reds feels fun here.
Total Home Runs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+301)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Jake Bauers looks good to hit a home run today. Singer’s sinker-heavy approach surrenders a vulnerable 42.6% hard-hit rate and a .342 xwOBA, while Bauers crushes right-handed pitching with elite power metrics. He leads Milwaukee with a 13.4% barrel rate, a massive 53.1% hard-hit rate, and a .469 xSLG. In Great American Ball Park’s short porch, expect Bauers to launch Singer’s sinker over the right-field wall.
ATL
@
PHI
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for long-balls.. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Drake Baldwin will have an edge in today's matchup.. Drake Baldwin has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
BOS
@
BAL
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total Home Runs (-1649)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Total
u7.5 (-105)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
LAA
@
PIT
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vaughn Grissom o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Vaughn Grissom is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park profiles as the #3 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vaughn Grissom has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last two weeks.. Over the last 7 days, Vaughn Grissom's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph in recent games.
Total RBIs
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
Projection 0.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. PNC Park projects as the #3 field in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Josh Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Lowe's true offensive skill to be a .304, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .031 disparity between that mark and his actual .273 wOBA.
DET
@
CLE
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Travis Bazzana o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Travis Bazzana appears to be just fine after getting drilled in the hand by the Blue Jays a few days ago. He has since made two starts, putting together multi-hit performances in each.
Detroit starter Jackson Jobe is a fastball-first pitcher, and Bazzana is sporting a .312 average, .271 ISO, and near 50% hard hit rate against righty fastballs.
Total
u7.5 (-119)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Detroit's .111 ISO against righties the past month slots them dead last, and Gavin Williams’ home run suppression numbers are much better at home.
Jobe is not near the talent Williams is but the Cleveland Guardians sit 30th in barrel rate against righties the last 30 days. They aren’t hitting for much power, which significantly lowers their offensive ceiling.
Play to 54%.
CHC
@
MIA
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Griffin Conine u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Griffin Conine has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. The #1 field in baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Griffin Conine pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+247)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Griffin Conine ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Griffin Conine is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Griffin Conine will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage today.. In the last week, Griffin Conine's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.3%.
SF
@
NYM
Sun, Sep 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Carson Benge has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Carson Benge has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Carson Benge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
TOR
@
KC
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Kazuma Okamoto has hit seven of his 28 dingers against the sinker, which is Randy Dobnak’s most common pitch (39.4%).
Kauffman Stadium a lso is a very hitter-friendly ballpark, tied for fifth in Park Factor according to Statcast (102).
Moneyline
TOR (-120)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Randy Dobnak's xERA ranks in the 21st percentile (4.79), while his xBA is in the second percentile (.290).
He’ll face a Toronto Blue Jays offense that has been on fire since Aug. 28. Toronto is 7-1 over that span with a .283 team batting average (2nd) and a .347 wOBA (4th).
AZ
@
HOU
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an edge in today's game.. Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jeremy Pena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
Projection 0.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 9th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Daulton Varsho has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 30.3° figure in the last week's worth of games.
TB
@
TEX
Sun, Sep 6 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Typically, batters like Wyatt Langford who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Ian Seymour.. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the best among all the teams on the slate today.. Wyatt Langford is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Tampa Bay (#1-best on the slate today).
Total Bases
Jorge Mateo u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Mateo in the 25th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jorge Mateo is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.. Jorge Mateo has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 55% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
STL
@
COL
Sun, Sep 6 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the majors's 12th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.
Total Bases
Connor Norby o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #1 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 89°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
NYY
@
SD
Sun, Sep 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 82°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 85°.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
ATH
@
SEA
Sun, Sep 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gage Jump today.. Taylor Ward has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Athletics outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+251)
Projection 0.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams today.
MIN
@
CHW
Sun, Sep 6 • 6:20 PM ET
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the league's 2nd-best home run hitter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 ballpark in the league for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an edge today.. Munetaka Murakami has strong power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (34.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Ober doesn't generate many whiffs (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Murakami.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Royce Lewis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 16.7%.. Royce Lewis's 20.3° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the league: 95th percentile.
WAS
@
LAD
Sun, Sep 6 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
James Wood o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
While James Wood is more productive facing righties, the power numbers vs. southpaws (17.3% barrel rate, 53.8% hard hit rate) are still outstanding.
He has faced Justin Wrobleski three times in his young career. He walked in one of them, and homered in the two at-bats.
Total
o8.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Andrew Alvarez has posted a 4.41 xERA over 10 starts in hitter-friendly conditions this season, and favorable weather is projected tonight.
Justin Wrobleski pitches well in stretches but is vulnerable to power. He has allowed 1.45 HR/9 this year, and the Nationals have a lot more pop with the recent return of James Wood.
Target the Over to 52%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
