LIVE top 7th Jun 27
NYY 2 -119 o8.5
TOR 9 +110 u8.5
LIVE top 5th Jun 27
CIN 8 +128 o8.0
STL 2 -139 u8.0
LIVE top 5th Jun 27
CLE 1 -102 o9.0
KC 0 -106 u9.0
DET -153 o8.5
LAA +141 u8.5
Final Jun 27
MIN 13 -112 o8.5
AZ 6 +104 u8.5
Final (10) Jun 27
CHC 5 -105 o7.5
SF 3 -104 u7.5
Final Jun 27
ATL 0 -366 o7.5
CHW 1 +318 u7.5
Final Jun 27
MIA 7 +247 o8.0
PHI 4 -277 u8.0
Final Jun 27
TEX 2 +169 o7.5
BAL 11 -185 u7.5
NBCSCH, NESN

Boston @ Chicago props

Guaranteed Rate Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Dalbec Total Hits Props • Boston

B. Dalbec
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-107
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-107
Projection Rating

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Bobby Dalbec's speed has improved this year. His 28.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.64 ft/sec now. Bobby Dalbec has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .221 rate is considerably lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bobby Dalbec

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Bobby Dalbec's speed has improved this year. His 28.08 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.64 ft/sec now. Bobby Dalbec has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .221 rate is considerably lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Robert Jr. Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Robert Jr.
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Luis Robert pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Robert will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Luis Robert Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Luis Robert pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Robert will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #23 park in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jarren Duran today. Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .018 deviation. Posting a .272 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran is positioned in the 9th percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran's 5.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #23 park in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jarren Duran today. Jarren Duran has been lucky this year, compiling a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .018 deviation. Posting a .272 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran is positioned in the 9th percentile for hitting ability. Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran's 5.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

G. Sheets
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Zach DeLoach Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Z. DeLoach
right outfield RF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Zach DeLoach is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Zach DeLoach will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Zach DeLoach will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Zach DeLoach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Zach DeLoach is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Zach DeLoach will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Zach DeLoach will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #23 park in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Despite posting a .390 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side given the .031 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .359. Rafael Devers grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #23 park in the game for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Despite posting a .390 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rafael Devers has had positive variance on his side given the .031 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .359. Rafael Devers grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

Danny Mendick Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

D. Mendick
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Danny Mendick has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Danny Mendick will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Danny Mendick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Danny Mendick has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Danny Mendick will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Oscar Colas Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

O. Colas
center outfield CF • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Oscar Colas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Oscar Colas will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Oscar Colas has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .217 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Oscar Colas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for home runs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Oscar Colas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Oscar Colas will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Oscar Colas has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .217 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Andrew Vaughn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Andrew Vaughn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Andrew Vaughn's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Andrew Vaughn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Connor Wong has been hot of late, tallying a .368 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Connor Wong has been hot of late, tallying a .368 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is very quick.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is very quick.

Lenyn Sosa Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

L. Sosa
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .204 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232. Lenyn Sosa ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.3% rate since the start of last season).

Lenyn Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .204 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232. Lenyn Sosa ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.3% rate since the start of last season).

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

N. Lopez
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Nicky Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Nicky Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's game... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Nicky Lopez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Paul DeJong usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Paul DeJong is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Paul DeJong usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Rob Refsnyder has been hot lately, tallying a .406 wOBA in the last week's worth of games.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Rob Refsnyder has been hot lately, tallying a .406 wOBA in the last week's worth of games.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Nastrini today. Dominic Smith has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dominic Smith has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile). In terms of plate discipline, Dominic Smith's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 79th percentile.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Nastrini today. Dominic Smith has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dominic Smith has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.9° figure is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile). In terms of plate discipline, Dominic Smith's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 79th percentile.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Martin Maldonado pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Martin Maldonado's true offensive ability to be a .254, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .139 disparity between that mark and his actual .115 wOBA.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Martin Maldonado pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Martin Maldonado's true offensive ability to be a .254, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .139 disparity between that mark and his actual .115 wOBA.

Korey Lee Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

K. Lee
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's game.

Korey Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's game.

Corey Julks Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

C. Julks
starter SP • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Corey Julks is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Julks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Julks is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.2% rate since the start of last season).

Corey Julks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Corey Julks is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The shallowest LF fences among all stadiums are found in Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Julks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Corey Julks is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.2% rate since the start of last season).

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Enmanuel Valdez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have the upper hand today. Enmanuel Valdez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Enmanuel Valdez has been unlucky this year, notching a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .034 disparity.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Enmanuel Valdez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have the upper hand today. Enmanuel Valdez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Enmanuel Valdez has been unlucky this year, notching a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .034 disparity.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand today. David Hamilton has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand today. David Hamilton has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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