Colorado @ St. Louis props

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time. Alec Burleson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will be challenged by baseball's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Alec Burleson has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) rate him as one of the league's worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season. Alec Burleson is very slow, placing in the 13th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.49 ft/sec this year.

Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn in today's game. Masyn Winn has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Masyn Winn has been very fortunate given the .052 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294. By putting up a .276 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Masyn Winn finds himself in the 13th percentile for hitting ability.

Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have an edge in today's matchup. Charlie Blackmon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Charlie Blackmon has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .303 rate is quite a bit lower than his .348 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Ezequiel Tovar and his 49.8% since the start of last season rank in the 96th percentile by this measure. Checking in at the 98th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Ezequiel Tovar demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key talent for achieving a high batting average.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) suggests that Dylan Carlson has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .278 actual wOBA. Dylan Carlson ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (18.6% rate since the start of last season). Dylan Carlson has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key talent for batting average), placing in the 85th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Ivan Herrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Ivan Herrera will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ivan Herrera's speed has improved this season. His 26.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.35 ft/sec now.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game. Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Paul Goldschmidt has experienced some negative variance this year. His .290 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

Elehuris Montero is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Elehuris Montero has been unlucky this year, notching a .250 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .038 disparity. Elehuris Montero has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), grading out in the 83rd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brenton Doyle and his 15.3° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 80th percentile, among the highest in MLB since the start of last season. Checking in at the 81st percentile, Brenton Doyle has notched a .335 BABIP this year.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake Cave will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Cave hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Cave has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.2° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (85th percentile). Grading out in the 93rd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Jake Cave demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's game. Ryan McMahon's 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 79th percentile since the start of last season. Ryan McMahon's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

Brendan Rodgers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.8-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brendan Rodgers hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) suggests that Nolan Arenado has been very fortunate this year with his .248 actual batting average. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Nolan Arenado ranks in the 84th percentile with a 16.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's game. Using Statcast data, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 94th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .370.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jacob Stallings has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), grading out in the 91st percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Elias Diaz ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46.6% rate since the start of last season). Elias Diaz has compiled a .274 batting average this year, placing in the 79th percentile.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Michael Toglia has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .159 BA is a fair amount lower than his .203 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter's 11.2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Matt Carpenter ranks in the 97th percentile with a 23.5° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alan Trejo grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).