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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 31, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.86 |
-183 
|
o10.0 -105 
|
-1.5 -116
|
|
5.82 |
+166 
|
u10.5 -121
|
+1.5 +105
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +243
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+146
|
o8.0 -118 
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.12 |
-161
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +128
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5 +173
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+134
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.20 |
-144 
|
u9.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +134
|
Seattle
- Under is 4-0-1 in Woos last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Woos last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 8-0 in Sasakis last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5 +270
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+130
|
o9.0 -114
|
+1.5 -165 
|
|
4.91 |
-137
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +146
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 road games.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 interleague starts.
- Cubs are 5-1 in Imanagas last 6 starts vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.52 |
-125
|
o7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
4.25 |
+109
|
u8.0 -118
|
+1.5 -155
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
+105
|
o9.0 -105
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.80 |
-116
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.04 |
+152
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
4.61 |
-168
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games.
- Under is 6-1 in Ceases last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+125 
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.77 |
-137
|
u8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +152
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+115
|
o8.5 -113
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.08 |
-131
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +164
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
+114
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.86 |
-126
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +168
|
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Peraltas last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.42 |
+110
|
o8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.35 |
-125
|
u9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +163
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Griffins last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Griffins last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+109
|
o7.5 -126
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.90 |
-125
|
u8.5 -126
|
-1.5 +166
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 8-1 in Rangers last 9 during game 1 of a series.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.92 |
-107
|
o11.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
6.12 |
-106
|
u11.5 -120
|
+1.5 -160
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Suganos last 4 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
-154
|
o8.5 -126
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.71 |
+146
|
u9.0 -114
|
+1.5 -112
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Drohans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.73 |
-150
|
o11.0 +100
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
|
5.74 |
+130
|
u11.0 -120
|
+1.5 -118
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.88 |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.77 |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.82 |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.93 |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+158
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
|
5.15 |
-182
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +126
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Twins last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gausmans last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Gausmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gausmans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 8-2 in White Sox last 10 on fieldturf.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillips' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
Seattle
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-2 in Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Reds last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Blancos last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in Blancos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-252
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 road games.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 on grass.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
BOS
@
ATH
Thu, Jul 30 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+546)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Let's take another big swing, this time at Sutter Health Park, where the ball flies, and the Athletics' pitching staff is hanging on by a thread. Mason Barnett is making his first start of the season after working in a bulk relief role. The rotation injuries continue to pile up with Luis Severino, JT Ginn, Jeffrey Springs, and Gunnar Hoglund all sidelined. Barnett is a home-run-prone arm with just a 33% groundball rate and will eventually hand things over to a bullpen that owns an MLB-worst 8.14 ERA over the last two weeks. Andruw Monasterio crushes left-handed pitching, and with three left-handed relievers available in the Athletics' bullpen, he should see favorable matchups throughout the game. Monasterio also leads the Red Sox with a .714 slugging percentage over the last two weeks, while his .511 wOBA ranks sixth in baseball during that span. There should be plenty of balls leaving the yard at Sutter Health Park today.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+189)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sutter Health Park ranks as the #2 venue in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 103°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Lawrence Butler will have the upper hand today.
SF
@
SD
Thu, Jul 30 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
JP Sears o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Let's stay in San Diego and attack the Over on a modest strikeout total for Padres starter JP Sears. The lefty is making a start after spending some time in a bulk relief role. He threw 55 pitches five days ago and has already been stretched out to 95 pitches earlier this season. He likely won't get that far today, but 75-80 pitches is certainly in play. THE BAT projects him around four strikeouts on 72 pitches, but that might be a little conservative. The Giants strike out 2.3% more often against left-handed pitching, and Sears has reached at least three strikeouts in all six of his appearances this season, giving him a solid floor. The Padres also used five bullpen arms yesterday and could be without three right-handed relievers, which adds more value to Sears getting through the lineup multiple times. There is plenty of meat on this bone with a fair price around -125.
Strikeouts Thrown
Robbie Ray o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+103)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Are we taking Robbie Ray seriously enough? Over his last seven starts, Ray has allowed just five earned runs while striking out 35 over 43 innings. He has cleared this number four times during that stretch and missed by the hook twice. His strikeout stuff has also been better on the road for three straight seasons, and his slider — his second-most used pitch at 26% — is generating more whiffs this year than last. Ray has a 100-pitch leash and has hit five-plus strikeouts in back-to-back starts despite throwing just 80 and 86 pitches. He can get there through either volume or efficiency. The Padres are a middle-of-the-pack strikeout offense, ranking 15th in MLB in K%. Expecting 15-18 outs with five punchouts at plus money isn't an aggressive projection. THE BAT has him projected for 94 pitches and 4.77 strikeouts.
SEA
@
LAD
Thu, Jul 30 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-148)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
Seattle has dropped 15 of its last 20 road games, and things don't get any easier tonight. Bryan Woo has been awful away from home, posting a 6.52 ERA in road starts thanks to getting shelled on multiple occasions. Meanwhile, the Dodgers rank fourth in OPS against right-handed pitching over the past two weeks. Roki Sasaki is also trending in the right direction, allowing just one earned run across his last two starts ahead of a matchup with a Mariners lineup that's struggling vs right-handed pitching.
Total
o8.5 (-116)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over has a path through Seattle’s improving offense and Los Angeles’ recent bullpen issues. The Mariners own a 103 wRC+ over their last six games, while the Dodgers relief corps has posted a 6.54 FIP over the last week. If Seattle contributes late, nine runs is reachable.
NYY
@
CHC
Fri, Jul 31 • 2:20 PM ET
Total
o9.5 (+109)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over because both sides have a scoring path tied to the starters. New York’s case is obvious.
The Cubs can contribute against Will Warren, too. He owns a 4.59 xERA with a 41.0% hard-hit rate. The Cubs aren't a crazy explosive group, but a .340 OBP along with a solid walk rate can create the traffic Warren has struggled to navigate. I'd play this to -105.
Moneyline
NYY (+124)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
For a second straight start, I find myself in the position of backing New York Yankees arm Will Warren. And, for the second straight start, it's not because of him but his opponent. This is a decent misprice, and I'd play the Yankees down to +100 for two units.
Shota Imanaga’s barrel profile is a real concern against this lineup. He has allowed a 9.4% barrel rate, which sits in the bottom quarter of MLB, while the Bombers own a 9.6% team barrel rate, the best mark in baseball. That’s the biggest advantage for either team in this matchup.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
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Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
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Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
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The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
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