Philadelphia @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Kyle Bradish will hold the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm's true offensive skill to be a .317, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .024 disparity between that figure and his actual .341 wOBA. Alec Bohm and his 7.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 20th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season. Checking in at the 20th percentile for Sprint Speed at 26.13 ft/sec this year, Alec Bohm is not very athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Cristian Pache has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Cristian Pache has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 27.84 ft/sec to 28.35 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Ryan Mountcastle has gone under 1.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. David Dahl will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Bradish in today's matchup. David Dahl hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 83°. Garrett Stubbs will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's game. Garrett Stubbs pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Ranger Suarez in today's game.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Cedric Mullins II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has had some very poor luck given the .065 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. Bats such as Anthony Santander with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ranger Suarez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jordan Westburg will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Bradish today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Gunnar Henderson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 83°. Johan Rojas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst among all the teams today.

Colton Cowser's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of the day at 83°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams today. Edmundo Sosa is remarkably quick, grading out in the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.6 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Austin Hays will have an advantage in today's game. Austin Hays will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. With a .334 BABIP since the start of last season, Austin Hays grades out in the 90th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Bradish throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. James McCann will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. James McCann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for RHB batting average. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°. Jorge Mateo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) suggests that Jorge Mateo has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .224 actual batting average.