New York @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Anthony Volpe will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Volpe today. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Anthony Volpe has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.7 mph (an advanced metric to study power), grading out in the 14th percentile.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been very fortunate given the .024 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321. In notching a .279 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jarren Duran is ranked in the 14th percentile for offensive skills. Jarren Duran's 5.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jarren Duran's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 20th percentile at 90.3 mph.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Aaron Judge will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Aaron Judge today. Despite posting a .456 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has been very fortunate given the .039 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .417.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Verdugo today. Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo's 5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 21st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) is in the 16th percentile at 89.9 mph. Alex Verdugo's 8.5° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 18th percentile.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Luis Gil in today's matchup. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Anthony Rizzo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Bello has a large platoon split. Anthony Rizzo pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences among all major league stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Jose Trevino has posted a .276 batting average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

David Hamilton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #5 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions on the slate. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Luis Gil today. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.