MLB Picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kris Bubic to have a pitch count in this game, projecting a maximum of 70 pitches.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #21 venue in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 17.3-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #7 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Jack Leiter to have a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 75 pitches.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Jack Leiter will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today.. Placing in the 84th percentile, Wyatt Langford sports a .341 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Chase Burns.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the best ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the majors for strikeouts.. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's game.. CJ Abrams has put up a .326 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

The Chicago White Sox might be headed for another dreadful season, but newcomer Munetaka Murakami is the sunshine on the Southside. The Japanese left-hander has gone deep in every game this year, and although there is some swing and miss potential, that works well for home run props as it's all or nothing with the rookie, with all three hits leaving the yard. He has also moved from the sixth spot in the lineup to the second spot, so five plate appearances are very possible if Chicago can turn things over. He's going from an indoor setting to another controlled environment in Miami, and only four other pitchers in baseball last year gave up more home runs than Miami's Chris Paddack. Fair price on the projection is +360.

Chris Paddack posted a 5.35 ERA across 158 innings in 2025, barely missed any bats, and was prone to the home run ball as opponents consistently squared him up. White Sox starter Davis Martin wasn't as bad in the ERA department (4.10), but he also failed to miss bats (17.3% strikeout rate) and sat just outside the Bottom 20 pitchers (min 140 innings) in barrel rate against with the 17th-highest hard-hit rate. This has all the makings of a high-scoring clash.

Targeting starter Tomoyuki Sugano is a clear angle here. He allowed the fourth-most home runs last season and ranked in the bottom 6% of the league in K% and Barrel% — a bad combo for limiting damage.  The best +EV look is Kazuma Okamoto HR (+500) with the market as short as +425. He hit out of the five-hole yesterday and already cashed a HR ticket in a tougher matchup. No starter projects for more earned runs on the slate than Sugano. 

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Cody Ponce in the 89th percentile among all starters in the game.. The Colorado Rockies (25.8% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-prone batting order of all teams on the slate.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Cody Ponce will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.

Back the A's to get their first win of the season after being swept by the Blue Jays in Toronto. The Braves' lack of rotation depth gets exposed with right-hander Bryce Elder toeing the rubber amid multiple injuries. Elder posted a 5.30 ERA in 156 1/3 innings in 2025 with a middling 19.3% strikeout rate. He should be just what Nick Kurtz, Lawrence Butler, and the A's need to get going.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Truist Park grades out as the #9 field in MLB for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme flyball bats like Brent Rooker usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Edward Cabrera is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-most of all pitchers on the slate today.. Carson Kelly, the Cubs's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

When assessing his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Both offenses are off to a scorching start, combining for 52 runs while ranking in the top four in wRC+, which has translated to the clubs combining for a 5-1 Over record. There’s no reason to expect a slowdown here with a shaky pitching matchup, especially with Nick Martinez, who posted a 7.71 ERA across three outings vs Milwaukee last season. Add in a Rays bullpen that’s been getting lit up, and this sets up as another high-scoring game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 8th-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.. The 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in American Family Field.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Projected catcher Pedro Pages projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Kyle Leahy will hold that advantage in today's game.. Among all starters, Kyle Leahy's fastball velocity of 95.1 mph grades out in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest fences in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Minute Maid Park ranks as the #6 field in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today.. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

When assessing his home run skill, Trevor Story ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Minute Maid Park ranks as the #6 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.. In notching a .329 BABIP since the start of last season, Trevor Story has performed in the 87th percentile.

Willy Adames has reached 30+ home runs in each of the last two seasons. In his age-30 season with a revamped batting stance, Adames can be projected to continue hitting for power and posting an ISO around .200.

A year ago, he had reverse splits with a 112 wRC+ and 20 HRs against righties, 95 wRC+ and 10 HRs against lefties.

Buehler struggles to keep left-handed hitters off base, but right-handed hitters dole out the damage, tagging him for an absurd 2.10 HR/9. 

After failing to score a run in either of the first two games of the season, the San Francisco Giants made a change at the top of the order by installing Jung Hoo Lee as the leadoff man on Saturday. 

He responded by scoring the team’s only run of the season, so it’s likely he stays in that spot. That’s a premium spot against Walker Buehler (5.39 xERA, 5.66 FIP), who struggled mightily against lefties (.300 BA, 1.79 WHIP). 

Lee stands a good chance of getting on base, and the heart of the order behind him has two left-handed bats (Luis Arraez, Rafael Devers) poised to knock Buehler around and drive Lee home.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team in action today.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team in action today.. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of New York (#1-worst on the slate today).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 81°.. By putting up a .336 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Spencer Torkelson is positioned in the 81st percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in the league.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the league.. Kyle Tucker will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the league.. Sporting a .362 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jose Ramirez is ranked in the 93rd percentile.