Tampa Bay @ Atlanta Picks & Props

The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Richie Palacios will have an edge in today's game.

Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage today. Orlando Arcia has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .268 figure is considerably lower than his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 8th-worst among every team today.

Amed Rosario is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Amed Rosario faces a tough challenge today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Amed Rosario today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today. Ben Rortvedt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 19th-best hitter in baseball. Austin Riley is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Atlanta Braves outfield defense profiles as the 8th-worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's speed has fallen off this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.26 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage today. Adam Duvall has been unlucky this year, compiling a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .043 difference.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 17th-best batter in MLB. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Truist Park profiles as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #4 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. In Major League Baseball, Truist Park's CF dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to better offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 18.9° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the game.

J.P. Martinez has not yet played a game this season.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.