Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Using Statcast data, Joey Meneses ranks in the 14th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .287. Joey Meneses's 5.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season. Joey Meneses's 90.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 20th percentile since the start of last season. Joey Meneses ranks in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (12.1% rate since the start of last season).

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Tim Anderson's 2.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 7th percentile since the start of last season. Tim Anderson's 87.8-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 23rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesse Winker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Jesus Sanchez is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesus Sanchez has had some very poor luck given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will have an advantage today. LaVictor Lipscomb has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game. Jacob Young has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .361 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Drew Millas grades out in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability. Posting a .318 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Drew Millas has performed in the 98th percentile.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Nick Senzel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Senzel has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Jake Burger will have an edge in today's game. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has had some very poor luck given the .055 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is quite a bit higher than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage today. Otto Lopez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an advantage in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .245 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .294 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.8% rate since the start of last season).

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Christian Bethancourt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz today. Extreme groundball batters like Christian Bethancourt tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like DJ Herz.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Dane Myers will have an edge today. Extreme flyball batters like Dane Myers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like DJ Herz. With a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Dane Myers has performed in the 93rd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Lane Thomas will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like DJ Herz.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive talent to be a .298, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .070 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .228 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Trevor Rogers. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.