LIVE top 9th Jun 27
NYY 2 -119 o8.5
TOR 9 +110 u8.5
LIVE top 6th Jun 27
CIN 10 +128 o8.0
STL 2 -139 u8.0
LIVE top 6th Jun 27
CLE 1 -102 o9.0
KC 0 -106 u9.0
DET -153 o8.5
LAA +141 u8.5
Final Jun 27
MIN 13 -112 o8.5
AZ 6 +104 u8.5
Final (10) Jun 27
CHC 5 -105 o7.5
SF 3 -104 u7.5
Final Jun 27
ATL 0 -366 o7.5
CHW 1 +318 u7.5
Final Jun 27
MIA 7 +247 o8.0
PHI 4 -277 u8.0
Final Jun 27
TEX 2 +169 o7.5
BAL 11 -185 u7.5
MASN2, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Tim Anderson's 2.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 7th percentile since the start of last season. Tim Anderson's 87.8-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 23rd percentile.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Nationals Park profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Tim Anderson's 2.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 7th percentile since the start of last season. Tim Anderson's 87.8-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 23rd percentile.

Trey Lipscomb Total Hits Props • Washington

T. Lipscomb
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will have an advantage today. LaVictor Lipscomb has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trey Lipscomb

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will have an advantage today. LaVictor Lipscomb has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Winker
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesse Winker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Jesse Winker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesse Winker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sánchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Jesus Sanchez is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesus Sanchez has had some very poor luck given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Jesús Sánchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Jesus Sanchez is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesus Sanchez has had some very poor luck given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game. Jacob Young has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game. Jacob Young has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Drew Millas Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Millas
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .361 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Drew Millas grades out in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability. Posting a .318 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Drew Millas has performed in the 98th percentile.

Drew Millas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Drew Millas will hold that advantage today. By putting up a .361 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Drew Millas grades out in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability. Posting a .318 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Drew Millas has performed in the 98th percentile.

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington

N. Senzel
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Nick Senzel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Senzel has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Nick Senzel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Senzel has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 90th percentile with a 1.56 K/BB rate.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is quite a bit higher than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an edge in today's matchup. Bryan De La Cruz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .309 figure is quite a bit higher than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Jake Burger will have an edge in today's game. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has had some very poor luck given the .055 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Jake Burger will have an edge in today's game. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has had some very poor luck given the .055 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329.

Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami

V. Brujan
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

Vidal Brujan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage today. Otto Lopez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage today. Otto Lopez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami

E. Rivera
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an advantage in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .245 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .294 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.8% rate since the start of last season).

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an advantage in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .245 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .294 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.8% rate since the start of last season).

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Dane Myers will have an edge today. Extreme flyball batters like Dane Myers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like DJ Herz. With a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Dane Myers has performed in the 93rd percentile.

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Dane Myers will have an edge today. Extreme flyball batters like Dane Myers are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like DJ Herz. With a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Dane Myers has performed in the 93rd percentile.

Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Miami

C. Bethancourt
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Christian Bethancourt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz today. Extreme groundball batters like Christian Bethancourt tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like DJ Herz.

Christian Bethancourt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Christian Bethancourt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against DJ Herz today. Extreme groundball batters like Christian Bethancourt tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like DJ Herz.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Lane Thomas will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Lane Thomas will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Joey Meneses has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Joey Meneses has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like DJ Herz.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like DJ Herz.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive talent to be a .298, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .070 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .228 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive talent to be a .298, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .070 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .228 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington

I. Vargas
second base 2B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Trevor Rogers. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ildemaro Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Trevor Rogers. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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