MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Houston Astros logo HOU @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jun 23 • 4:07 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.. Among every team in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge today.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Jared Triolo logo
Jared Triolo o1.5 Total Bases (+229)
Projection 1.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Heriberto Hernandez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Heriberto Hernandez has strong power (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Cal Quantrill doesn't generate many whiffs (25th percentile K%) — great news for Hernandez.. Heriberto Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ben Rice ranks as the 19th-best batter in MLB.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total Bases
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Jun 23 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's matchup.. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball batters like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shane McClanahan.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Jun 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Jun 23 • 7:40 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total Hits
Tommy Edman logo
Tommy Edman u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tommy Edman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. This game is expected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The switch-hitting Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Joe Ryan... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Ryan's large platoon split.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tommy Edman in today's game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jun 23 • 7:45 PM ET
1 Computer Pick
Total RBIs
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so JJ Wetherholt stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jun 23 • 8:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the league's 18th-best home run batter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+132)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Sullivan throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team in action today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Tue, Jun 23 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total Bases
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Jun 24 • 1:10 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo New York Mets logo o8.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Chicago is hot at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game, and New York has statistical correction coming offensively. The Mets rank 23rd in BABIP with their .311 wOBA below their 12th-ranked .321 xwOBA to go along with a sixth-ranked hard-hit rate across the past 30 days.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Cubs are heating up at the dish with a fifth-ranked wOBA, ISO and xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.7 runs per game. Chicago lefty Shota Imanaga has also flipped the script with just a single run allowed and opposing hitters limited to a miniscule 19.3% squared-up contact rate and 3.5% blast contact rate across 10 2/3 innings over his past two starts. The Cubbies should also have their way with struggling New York Mets righty Kodai Senga. His 5.12 xERA ranks in the 17th percentile, and he has negative pitch values on three of his most frequent four offerings, after all.

View 13 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: yesterday
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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