St. Louis @ Miami props

14% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Yonny Chirinos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today. Masyn Winn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. Kyle Gibson will have the handedness advantage over Tim Anderson in today's game. Tim Anderson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Tim Anderson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 86.5-mph mark.

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to less offense. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -8° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Yonny Chirinos will have the handedness advantage over Paul Goldschmidt in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage today. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. Batting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jake Burger will not have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week, Jesus Sanchez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.1% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gordon in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Nick Gordon is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for left-handed base hits. Nick Gordon hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Nick Gordon will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Fortes today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today. In terms of his batting average, Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year. His .156 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .229.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Vidal Brujan will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for left-handed base hits. Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (25.7°) is significantly better than his 21.5° angle last year.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Nolan Arenado has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 91-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 88.8-mph. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 15.7% on the season to 21.6% in the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Otto Lopez will have a tough matchup today. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) implies that Otto Lopez has been unlucky this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for right-handed base hits. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for left-handed base hits. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Brendan Donovan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 43% on the season to 57.9% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for left-handed base hits. Batting from the opposite that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today. Sporting a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Jose Fermin has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.