Bally Sports Network, NBCSP

Miami @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sánchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jesus Sanchez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Jesús Sánchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jesus Sanchez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Trea Turner will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Trea Turner will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

A. Sanchez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Ali Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.

Ali Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Ali Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Bryson Stott's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.1-mph EV last year has decreased to 86.1-mph. Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.8-mph in the past week.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Bryson Stott's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.1-mph EV last year has decreased to 86.1-mph. Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.8-mph in the past week.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Brandon Marsh faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Brandon Marsh faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Vidal Bruján Total Hits Props • Miami

V. Bruján
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Vidal Bruján

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

David Dahl Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Dahl
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Braxton Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Dahl today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and David Dahl will hold that advantage today.

David Dahl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Braxton Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Dahl today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and David Dahl will hold that advantage today.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Tim Anderson will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Tim Anderson's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Tim Anderson will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Tim Anderson's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Whitley Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today.

Whitley Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Garrett Stubbs will be at a disadvantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Garrett Stubbs will be at a disadvantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Nick Castellanos's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nick Castellanos's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami

E. Rivera
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an edge today. When it comes to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .243 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.4% rate since the start of last season).

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an edge today. When it comes to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .243 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.4% rate since the start of last season).

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive talent to be a .273, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .089 difference between that figure and his actual .184 wOBA.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive talent to be a .273, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .089 difference between that figure and his actual .184 wOBA.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Dane Myers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Dane Myers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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