Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
MIA vs PHI Picks
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MIA vs PHI Consensus Picks
79% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksMIA 160, PHI 620
MIA vs PHI Props
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Hitting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Trea Turner will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week, Trea Turner's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Jesus Sanchez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Batting from the opposite that Braxton Garrett throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 90.6 mph to 82.3 mph.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Bryson Stott's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 88.1-mph EV last year has decreased to 86.1-mph. Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.8-mph in the past week.
Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Ali Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The #7 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 40%. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan De La Cruz in today's game.
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
When assessing his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Brandon Marsh faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
David Dahl Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Braxton Garrett will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Dahl today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and David Dahl will hold that advantage today.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Tim Anderson will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Tim Anderson's 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.
Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Whitley Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today.
Vidal Bruján Total Hits Props • Miami
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Garrett throws from, Garrett Stubbs will be at a disadvantage in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today. Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an edge today. When it comes to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .243 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.4% rate since the start of last season).
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive talent to be a .273, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .089 difference between that figure and his actual .184 wOBA.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Dane Myers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for long-balls. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Dane Myers will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.
MIA vs PHI Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 71% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.85 Units / 32% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.70 Units / -24% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-21.90 Units / -25% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-21.80 Units / -28% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 58 games (-18.60 Units / -30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 37 away games (-14.95 Units / -37% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 75 games (+21.80 Units / 17% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 64 games (+22.50 Units / 27% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 63 games (+20.25 Units / 26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games at home (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 64 games (+14.60 Units / 19% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 63 games (-28.30 Units / -39% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-23.20 Units / -32% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-15.45 Units / -18% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 15 games (-4.50 Units / -25% ROI)
MIA vs PHI Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||