New York @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre profiles as the #23 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.4°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9°) in the last two weeks. Bo Bichette's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (3.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 7.8° figure last season. Bo Bichette has recorded a .276 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 18th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Kevin Kiermaier with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nestor Cortes who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days. Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kevin Kiermaier has experienced some negative variance given the .031 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .273.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's matchup. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nestor Cortes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity of the day at 85%. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this season (28.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 20.3° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.

Benjamin Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Benjamin Rice will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Benjamin Rice has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.6-mph. Benjamin Rice has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, striking balls between -4° and 26° 66.7% of the time over the last 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup. Juan Soto has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 18.8% this year.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Alejandro Kirk will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year's 90.6-mph average.

Anthony Volpe's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph in recent games. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 46% on the season to 61.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Aaron Judge has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 29.4% seasonal rate to 40.9% in the past two weeks. Aaron Judge has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 97-mph to 99-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 17.5% on the season to 28.6% over the past 14 days.

DJ LeMahieu's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). DJ LeMahieu hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph figure. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance this year. His .229 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291. In terms of plate discipline, DJ LeMahieu's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.92 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's game. Alex Verdugo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) provides evidence that Alex Verdugo has had bad variance on his side this year with his .247 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gleyber Torres's true offensive ability to be a .327, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .043 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Ernie Clement will have an edge in today's matchup. Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ernie Clement's speed has improved this year. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.91 ft/sec now.

Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's game. Trent Grisham hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Trent Grisham's launch angle from last season's 18.3° to 25° this season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.204) implies that Trent Grisham has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .191 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Trent Grisham's 12.4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Batting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance this year. His .274 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326. Austin Wells ranks in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48% rate this year).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, Davis Schneider has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 37° compared to his seasonal mark of 23°.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his better side against Chris Bassitt today. Oswaldo Cabrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.