Milwaukee @ Colorado Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eric Haase in the 12th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Eric Haase is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game. Eric Haase has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler since the start of last season. Eric Haase will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Eric Haase is in the 15th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.3% rate since the start of last season).

Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Christian Yelich will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Yelich today. Christian Yelich has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 5.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days. Christian Yelich's launch angle of late (0.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly lower than his 4.6° seasonal figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) suggests that Christian Yelich has been lucky this year with his .321 actual batting average.

17% of the time that Jackson Chourio has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Chourio in today's game. Over the past week, Jackson Chourio's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. In the last 14 days, Jackson Chourio's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.5°. Using Statcast data, Jackson Chourio is in the 18th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .282.

Willy Adames is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#1-best of all teams today). Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willy Adames in today's matchup. Willy Adames has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last week. Willy Adames has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the last 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Willy Adames's 31.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39%.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today. Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Rhys Hoskins's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 95.2 mph to 90.4 mph. When it comes to his batting average, Rhys Hoskins has had positive variance on his side this year. His .225 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .209. Checking in at the 25th percentile, Rhys Hoskins has posted a .266 BABIP this year.

Colorado's #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for William Contreras, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras in today's game. In the past 14 days, William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.9-mph of late. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) suggests that William Contreras has experienced some positive variance this year with his .291 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Charlie Blackmon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.5% to 37.7%. Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .257 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .218 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Charlie Blackmon's 84.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball this year: 3rd percentile. A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower BABIP, and Charlie Blackmon's 30.2° mark (17th percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.

Brice Turang has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Brice Turang faces a tough challenge today. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Brice Turang's launch angle in recent games (-6.6° in the past week) is significantly lower than his 6.4° seasonal angle. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (2.3°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° figure last year.

Blake Perkins is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Blake Perkins today. Over the past 14 days, Blake Perkins's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. Blake Perkins's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 90.2-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 78-mph over the last 14 days. Blake Perkins's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 13.6% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Batting from the same side that Bryse Wilson throws from, Elias Diaz will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Elias Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4.7°) is considerably lower than his 8.6° figure last season. Elias Diaz has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .343 rate is inflated compared to his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. This year, Elias Diaz's 3.8% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 15th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Bryse Wilson today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Jones will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Bryse Wilson today.

Batting from the same side that Bryse Wilson throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Milwaukee's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Brendan Rodgers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Brendan Rodgers has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 82-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.7% to 9.2%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Rodgers has experienced some positive variance this year. His .313 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .275.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Hitting from the opposite that Bryse Wilson throws from, Jake Cave will have an edge today. Jake Cave will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. Brenton Doyle will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Brenton Doyle's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 20%. In the last week, Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph in recent games.

Sal Frelick is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup. Austin Gomber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sal Frelick in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team in action today. Sal Frelick is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Colorado (#3-best of all teams on the slate). Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Hitting from the same side that Bryse Wilson throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will not have the upper hand today. Over the past 7 days, Ezequiel Tovar's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Ezequiel Tovar's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 80.5-mph over the past 7 days. In the last week, Ezequiel Tovar's 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.4%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky this year. His .334 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .285.

Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the schedule today at 85°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will get to bat from his strong side against Bryse Wilson in this game. Michael Toglia will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Michael Toglia has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 15.2% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past two weeks.

Jacob Stallings has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.