St. Louis @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Nolan Gorman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph EV.

Long-balls are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league parks. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Masyn Winn's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.7-mph average last year has decreased to 85.9-mph.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage today. Jack Suwinski will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jack Suwinski has been unlucky this year. His .170 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Kyle Gibson.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Edward Olivares will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In the last 7 days, Matt Carpenter's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. In today's game, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (79th percentile). Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson in today's game. Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Burleson has been lucky given the .016 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Connor Joe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Connor Joe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Connor Joe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 41.8% on the season to 60% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Nolan Arenado's launch angle of late (37° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 18.9° seasonal angle.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance given the .033 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yasmani Grandal has had some very poor luck given the .069 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.