Baltimore @ Seattle Picks & Props

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Ty France's launch angle of late (30.3° over the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal angle.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Luke Raley's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage today.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jorge Mateo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph lately. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has suffered from bad luck this year with his .232 actual batting average.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Checking in at the 91st percentile, Austin Hays sits with a .338 BABIP since the start of last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Jorge Polanco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 16.7%. Jorge Polanco has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 98.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Josh Rojas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Josh Rojas has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.4°.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 93-mph. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .275 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .351 — a .076 gap.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heston Kjerstad is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Heston Kjerstad stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Anthony Santander's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 33.3%. Anthony Santander has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 94.3-mph over the past week. In notching a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Anthony Santander is positioned in the 77th percentile for hitting ability.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Dylan Moore's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph recently. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 19.3% on the season to 35.7% in the last 14 days.

Ramon Urias has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias has posted a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.3% to 18.7%. In notching a .360 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jordan Westburg is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Posting a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ryan Mountcastle is ranked in the 77th percentile. This year, Ryan Mountcastle has an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, which ranks among the best in the game at the 87th percentile.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Adley Rutschman has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 7 days. Adley Rutschman's launch angle lately (29.8° over the past week) is quite a bit better than his 17.5° seasonal mark.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mitch Haniger has had bad variance on his side given the .038 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Dominic Canzone has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 23.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°. Utilizing Statcast data, Dominic Canzone grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .337.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Colton Cowser is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Colton Cowser has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Colton Cowser's launch angle lately (38° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 13.3° seasonal angle.

Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .281 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has had bad variance on his side given the .031 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for home runs. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#3-worst of all teams on the slate). Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.