Final Jul 4
NYM 0 -107 o9.0
WAS 1 -101 u9.0
Final (10) Jul 4
STL 3 -105 o9.0
PIT 2 -103 u9.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 8 +155 o9.5
NYY 4 -170 u9.5
Final Jul 4
HOU 5 -110 o8.5
TOR 3 +101 u8.5
Final Jul 4
DET 3 +157 o8.0
MIN 12 -171 u8.0
Final (12) Jul 4
BOS 6 -150 o8.0
MIA 5 +138 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CHW 4 +194 o8.5
CLE 8 -214 u8.5
Final Jul 4
PHI 2 -119 o7.5
CHC 10 +110 u7.5
Final Jul 4
SD 3 -101 o7.5
TEX 1 -108 u7.5
Final Jul 4
LAA 0 +102 o9.0
OAK 5 -111 u9.0
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 -145 o7.0
SEA 7 +133 u7.0
Final Jul 4
SF 4 +111 o8.0
ATL 2 -120 u8.0
Final Jul 4
MIL 3 -128 o11.0
COL 4 +118 u11.0
Final Jul 4
TB 10 -105 o8.5
KC 8 -103 u8.5
Final Jul 4
AZ 9 +101 o8.5
LAD 3 -109 u8.5

Milwaukee @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-155
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-155
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Extreme flyball batters like Christian Yelich tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich today. Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 96.9-mph average last year has lowered to 92.2-mph. Christian Yelich has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .329 BA is inflated compared to his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Christian Yelich

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Extreme flyball batters like Christian Yelich tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich today. Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 96.9-mph average last year has lowered to 92.2-mph. Christian Yelich has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .329 BA is inflated compared to his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-155
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-155
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Brice Turang's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 82.7-mph in the past 7 days. Brice Turang's launch angle in recent games (-3.4° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.6° seasonal figure. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (2.5°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° mark last season.

Brice Turang

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Brice Turang's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 82.7-mph in the past 7 days. Brice Turang's launch angle in recent games (-3.4° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.6° seasonal figure. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (2.5°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° mark last season.

Andruw Monasterio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

A. Monasterio
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The Barrel% of Andruw Monasterio has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 13.5% this year. In the last week, Andruw Monasterio's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 35.1%.

Andruw Monasterio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The Barrel% of Andruw Monasterio has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 13.5% this year. In the last week, Andruw Monasterio's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 35.1%.

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Brendan Rodgers is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best on the slate today). Brendan Rodgers has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 82.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Brendan Rodgers is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best on the slate today). Brendan Rodgers has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 82.1-mph over the past 14 days.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-150
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-150
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, William Contreras will not have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like William Contreras tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 87.9-mph in the last two weeks.

William Contreras

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, William Contreras will not have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like William Contreras tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 87.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

S. Frelick
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Sal Frelick is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today. 23% of the time that Sal Frelick has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Typically, batters like Sal Frelick who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Dakota Hudson. Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Sal Frelick is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today. 23% of the time that Sal Frelick has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Typically, batters like Sal Frelick who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Dakota Hudson. Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today's game.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today's game.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week. Ezequiel Tovar has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last week. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year. His .325 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week. Ezequiel Tovar has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last week. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year. His .325 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

W. Adames
shortstop SS • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Dakota Hudson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today's game. Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Willy Adames has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week. Willy Adames has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Willy Adames

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Dakota Hudson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today's game. Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Willy Adames has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week. Willy Adames has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Chourio
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Jackson Chourio's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jackson Chourio's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

R. Hoskins
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Rhys Hoskins faces a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rhys Hoskins in today's game. Rhys Hoskins has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Rhys Hoskins

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Rhys Hoskins faces a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rhys Hoskins in today's game. Rhys Hoskins has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

J. Bauers
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Bauers tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Bauers tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson.

Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

G. Mitchell
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-265
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-265
Projection Rating

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Typically, bats like Garrett Mitchell who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Dakota Hudson. Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.288) may lead us to conclude that Garrett Mitchell has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .333 actual wOBA. Garrett Mitchell's 88.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 19th percentile since the start of last season.

Garrett Mitchell

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Typically, bats like Garrett Mitchell who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Dakota Hudson. Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.288) may lead us to conclude that Garrett Mitchell has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .333 actual wOBA. Garrett Mitchell's 88.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 19th percentile since the start of last season.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Colin Rea. Michael Toglia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Colin Rea. Michael Toglia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Charlie Blackmon's BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .258 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Charlie Blackmon's BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .258 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Colorado

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jake Cave will have an edge in today's matchup.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jake Cave will have an edge in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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