Milwaukee @ Colorado Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Brice Turang's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 82.7-mph in the past 7 days. Brice Turang's launch angle in recent games (-3.4° in the last 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.6° seasonal figure. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (2.5°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° mark last season.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Extreme flyball batters like Christian Yelich tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Yelich today. Christian Yelich's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 96.9-mph average last year has lowered to 92.2-mph. Christian Yelich has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .329 BA is inflated compared to his .279 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Coors Field ranks as the #1 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The Barrel% of Andruw Monasterio has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 13.5% this year. In the last week, Andruw Monasterio's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 35.1%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Brendan Rodgers is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Milwaukee (#3-best on the slate today). Brendan Rodgers has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 82.1-mph over the past 14 days.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, William Contreras will not have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like William Contreras tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for William Contreras in today's game. William Contreras's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 87.9-mph in the last two weeks.

Jackson Chourio is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today. Jackson Chourio has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Jackson Chourio encounters a tough challenge today. Typically, batters like Jackson Chourio who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Dakota Hudson.

Sal Frelick is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today. 23% of the time that Sal Frelick has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Typically, batters like Sal Frelick who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Dakota Hudson. Sal Frelick will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Elias Diaz's BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz in today's matchup. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. From last year to this one, Elias Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.5% to 10.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Ezequiel Tovar has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week. Ezequiel Tovar has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 82.6-mph in the last week. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year. His .325 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Dakota Hudson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Willy Adames in today's game. Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Willy Adames has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 10% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week. Willy Adames has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage today. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, putting up a .322 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .036 discrepancy.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Dakota Hudson throws from, Rhys Hoskins faces a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rhys Hoskins in today's game. Rhys Hoskins has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Dakota Hudson today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Bauers tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dakota Hudson.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. Typically, bats like Garrett Mitchell who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Dakota Hudson. Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.288) may lead us to conclude that Garrett Mitchell has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .333 actual wOBA. Garrett Mitchell's 88.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 19th percentile since the start of last season.

Charlie Blackmon's BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .258 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 12.7% on the season to 0% over the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan McMahon's true offensive ability to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .031 deviation between that figure and his actual .346 wOBA.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Colin Rea. Michael Toglia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Coors Field grades out as the #1 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jake Cave will have an edge in today's matchup.