Final Jul 7
STL 8 -103 o9.0
WAS 3 -105 u9.0
Final Jul 7
PHI 0 +142 o8.0
ATL 6 -155 u8.0
Final Jul 7
NYM 3 -123 o9.0
PIT 2 +114 u9.0
Final Jul 7
CHW 4 +133 o7.5
MIA 7 -144 u7.5
Final Jul 7
DET 5 -130 o8.0
CIN 1 +120 u8.0
Final Jul 7
SF 4 +113 o8.5
CLE 5 -123 u8.5
Final Jul 7
HOU 2 +132 o9.0
MIN 3 -143 u9.0
Final Jul 7
LAA 0 +135 o9.5
CHC 5 -147 u9.5
Final Jul 7
TB 2 +115 o8.0
TEX 13 -125 u8.0
Final Jul 7
KC 10 -162 o10.5
COL 1 +148 u10.5
Final Jul 7
BAL 6 -168 o8.0
OAK 3 +154 u8.0
Final Jul 7
AZ 9 +151 o8.5
SD 1 -165 u8.5
Final (10) Jul 7
TOR 5 +130 o7.5
SEA 4 -141 u7.5
Final Jul 7
MIL 9 +156 o9.0
LAD 2 -170 u9.0
Final Jul 7
BOS 3 +113 o8.5
NYY 0 -122 u8.5
SDPA, ARID

Arizona @ San Diego props

Petco Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

L. Arraez
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Petco Park grades out as the #26 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph average last season has lowered to 87.3-mph.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Petco Park grades out as the #26 ballpark in the league for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph average last season has lowered to 87.3-mph.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gabriel Moreno has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. In terms of plate discipline, Gabriel Moreno's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.51 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gabriel Moreno has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. In terms of plate discipline, Gabriel Moreno's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.51 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • San Diego

D. Solano
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Donovan Solano's launch angle this season (17.7°) is considerably better than his 12.9° mark last season.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Donovan Solano hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Donovan Solano's launch angle this season (17.7°) is considerably better than his 12.9° mark last season.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.3% rate last year to 16.5% this year. Christian Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.3-mph average.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.3% rate last year to 16.5% this year. Christian Walker has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.3-mph average.

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Ha-seong Kim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph lately. Ha-seong Kim has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 1.18 K/BB rate.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ha-seong Kim will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Ha-seong Kim's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph lately. Ha-seong Kim has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 1.18 K/BB rate.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. Pederson
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's game. Joc Pederson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.7-mph. With a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Joc Pederson grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's game. Joc Pederson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.7-mph. With a .339 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Joc Pederson grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's game. Jackson Merrill will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's game. Jackson Merrill will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.5% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Ketel Marte has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 91.1-mph mark. Sporting a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Ketel Marte is ranked in the 89th percentile for hitting ability. Ketel Marte has recorded a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Ketel Marte has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 91.1-mph mark. Sporting a .350 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Ketel Marte is ranked in the 89th percentile for hitting ability. Ketel Marte has recorded a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 93.3-mph in the past two weeks. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 42% to 50.2%. Using Statcast data, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 95th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .369.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage today. Jurickson Profar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 93.3-mph in the past two weeks. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 42% to 50.2%. Using Statcast data, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 95th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .369.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 17.6%.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Manny Machado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 17.6%.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Cronenworth may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have the upper hand in today's game. Jake Cronenworth may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez today.

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.1% to 46.2% this season. Posting a 1.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.1% to 46.2% this season. Posting a 1.47 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • San Diego

K. Higashioka
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 45.8° angle over the past week. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.7%.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. Kyle Higashioka will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 45.8° angle over the past week. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.7%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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