Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate today at 35%. Yariel Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate today at 35%. Batting from the opposite that Jhonathan Diaz throws from, Bo Bichette will have an edge in today's game. Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate today at 35%. Batting from the opposite that Jhonathan Diaz throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for George Springer in today's game.

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate today at 35%. Hitting from the opposite that Jhonathan Diaz throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an edge today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jhonathan Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Horwitz in today's game. Spencer Horwitz may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Spencer Horwitz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jhonathan Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Daulton Varsho in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (28.2°) is quite a bit better than his 20.3° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Batting from the same side that Jhonathan Diaz throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last season's 87.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.2°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.6° figure in the past two weeks. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has had some very poor luck this year. His .285 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Danny Jansen has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 93.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (22.9°) is significantly better than his 19.5° mark last year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jorge Polanco has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past week, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.6-mph over the course of the season to 105.4-mph recently.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph figure. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Ty France's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (22.9° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 15.7° seasonal angle.

Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Mitch Garver will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Mitch Garver has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week. Last season, Mitch Garver had an average launch angle of 14.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.9°. In the last 14 days, Mitch Garver's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. In the last week's worth of games, Davis Schneider's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.1% up to 22.2%. Davis Schneider has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Posting a .336 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dominic Canzone has performed in the 75th percentile for offensive skills.

Josh Rojas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today. Compared to last year, Josh Rojas has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 19.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.8°, Dylan Moore has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 33.5° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games. Dylan Moore has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .207 figure is deflated compared to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in MLB. Mitch Haniger will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mitch Haniger has had some very poor luck given the .038 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 15.3% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the past 14 days. Cal Raleigh has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season's 89.6-mph mark.