Tampa Bay @ Texas props

The #1 park in the game for suppressing BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Among all major league stadiums, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Derek Hill has been hot recently, posting a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Notching a 99.3-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games, Derek Hill has been in great form recently. In the past week, Derek Hill's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Travis Jankowski will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's game. Travis Jankowski's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (5.5°) is significantly better than his 1.1° mark last season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Travis Jankowski has experienced some negative variance this year. His .230 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265. With a 1.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has shown impressive plate discipline, placing in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Wyatt Langford has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Wyatt Langford has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week's worth of games. Wyatt Langford has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.7-mph mark.

Leody Taveras's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Leody Taveras's launch angle this season (13.8°) is quite a bit better than his 9.9° mark last season. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 44.3% on the season to 53.3% over the last two weeks. Leody Taveras has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .285 figure is considerably lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonah Heim has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.6% seasonal rate to 14.8% in the last two weeks. Over the last week, Jonah Heim's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.1%.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Marcus Semien has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .295 figure is a fair amount lower than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate this year, Marcus Semien has shown favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. This season, Jose Siri has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark. Over the last two weeks, Jose Siri's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%. Jose Siri has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .293 figure is a good deal lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.1-mph.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 46.8% on the season to 41.2% in the last 7 days. Josh Smith has posted a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Richie Palacios will have an edge today. Richie Palacios will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Richie Palacios's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 48.7% on the season to 60.9% in the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) provides evidence that Richie Palacios has experienced some negative variance this year with his .311 actual wOBA. Richie Palacios has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 39.5% to 44.9%. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 44.9% on the season to 52.6% over the last 14 days.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Sporting a 1.95 K/BB rate this year, Nathaniel Lowe has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Lowe has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Randy Arozarena has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the past 14 days. Over the past 14 days, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.8-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph lately. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 15.6% on the season to 24.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Over the last week, Isaac Paredes's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 25%. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.2°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.3° angle in the last two weeks. Last year, Isaac Paredes had an average launch angle of 18° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.9°. By putting up a .360 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Paredes finds himself in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Sporting a 1.81 K/BB rate this year, Yandy Diaz has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 84th percentile. Yandy Diaz has put up a .274 batting average this year, grading out in the 80th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's game. Ben Rortvedt will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.