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MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 22, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.35 @ 4.44

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.35

+110

o7.0 -110

+1.5 -200

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.44

-125

u7.5 -130

-1.5 +172

Toronto @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.13 @ 4.35

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Blue Jays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.13

+105

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -205

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.35

-120

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +180

Washington @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.76 @ 4.31

DET
DET logo
DET

Nationals vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.76

+136

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -159

DET logo
DET
DET

4.31

-155

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Hao-Yu Lee u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
u0.5+182
Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.82 @ 4.21

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Brewers vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.82

+120

o7.0 -120

+1.5 -185

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.21

-135

u7.5 -125

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+224)
o0.5+224
St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.91 @ 4.18

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Cardinals vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.91

+133

o7.0 -124

+1.5 -165

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.18

-145

u7.5 -117

-1.5 +153

Top Projection Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Cleveland @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.65 @ 3.87

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Guardians vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.65

+110

o6.5 -120

+1.5 -200

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.87

-125

u7.0 -125

-1.5 +175

Top Projection Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.21 @ 3.68

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.21

+115

o6.5 -120

+1.5 -200

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

3.68

-130

u7.0 -125

-1.5 +173

Top Projection Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
o0.5+950
Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.77 @ 5.19

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Reds vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.77

+160

o9.0 -120

+1.5 -131

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.19

-184

u9.5 -124

-1.5 +116

Top Projection Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Chi. White Sox @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.38 @ 4.31

KC
KC logo
KC

White Sox vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.38

-115

o8.0 -115

-1.5 +150

KC logo
KC
KC

4.31

+100

u8.5 -120

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
o0.5+245
Miami @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.15 @ 3.76

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Marlins vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

3.15

+181

o6.5 -118

+1.5 -122

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.76

-210

u6.5 +100

-1.5 +112

Top Projection Xavier Edwards o0.5 Total Home Runs (+2500)
o0.5+2500
NY Mets @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28 @ 4.40

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Mets vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.28

+125

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -178

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.40

-140

u8.5 -128

-1.5 +155

Top Projection Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
o0.5+228
Arizona @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

6.10 @ 4.89

COL
COL logo
COL

Diamondbacks vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

6.10

-190

o10.5 -125

-1.5 -122

COL logo
COL
COL

4.89

+165

u11.0 -110

+1.5 +105

Top Projection Kyle Freeland o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125)
o2.5+120
Houston @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.96 @ 4.36

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Astros vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

3.96

+126

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -165

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.36

-143

u7.5 -104

-1.5 +146

Top Projection Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
o1.5+130
LA Angels @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.46 @ 5.12

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Angels vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.46

-107

o9.5 +101

-1.5 +152

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

5.12

-108

u9.5 -115

+1.5 -175

Top Projection Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+185
Minnesota @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.45 @ 3.34

SF
SF logo
SF

Twins vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.45

-130

o7.5 -110

-1.5 +135

SF logo
SF
SF

3.34

+115

u7.5 -105

+1.5 -150

Top Projection Luke Keaschall o0.5 Total RBIs (+239)
o0.5+239
San Diego @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.46 @ 4.91

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Padres vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.46

+105

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -200

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.91

-120

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +162

Top Projection Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+187)
o1.5+187
Washington @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.59 @ 3.76

DET
DET logo
DET

Nationals vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.59

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

3.76

--

--

--

Minnesota @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54 @ 3.29

SF
SF logo
SF

Twins vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.54

--

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

3.29

--

--

--

Toronto @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.09 @ 3.40

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Blue Jays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.09

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

3.40

--

--

--

Milwaukee @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.09 @ 3.96

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Brewers vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.09

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

3.96

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.23 @ 4.11

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Cardinals vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.23

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.11

--

--

--

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

3.72 @ 4.13

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Rays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

3.72

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.13

--

--

--

Cleveland @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.88 @ 3.87

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Guardians vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.88

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

3.87

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.86 @ 4.86

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Reds vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

3.86

--

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

4.86

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.79 @ 4.88

KC
KC logo
KC

White Sox vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.79

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

4.88

--

--

--

Miami @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

2.81 @ 3.79

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Marlins vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

2.81

--

--

--

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

3.79

--

--

--

Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. In the past 7 days, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. By putting up a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Victor Mesa Jr. has performed in the 85th percentile for offensive ability.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 21.8° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in baseball.. Placing in the 86th percentile, Victor Mesa Jr. sits with a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luis Garcia Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Garcia Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an advantage today.. Luis Garcia Jr. is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP.
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Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR @ Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL Tue, Sep 22 • 6:35 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Chris Bassitt logo
Chris Bassitt o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-118)
Projection 4.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers.. Chris Bassitt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.. Chris Bassitt has relied on his curveball 5.5% more often this season (21.8%) than he did last year (16.3%).. Given the 1.23 gap between Chris Bassitt's 6.68 K/9 and his 7.91 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see positive regression going forward.
Total RBIs
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo o0.5 Total RBIs (+288)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Samuel Basallo ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Samuel Basallo is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Samuel Basallo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.. Samuel Basallo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Washington Nationals image thumbnail WAS @ Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Dylan Crews has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.1% to 19.4%.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Anderson throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
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Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. William Contreras has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.1-mph over the past 14 days.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #9 park in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for homers.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Dustin May today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.
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St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Tue, Sep 22 • 6:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.. In the past week, Jordan Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 33.3%.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 3rd-best park in baseball for LHB BABIP.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams today.
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Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE @ Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS Tue, Sep 22 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-280)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Jahmai Jones has been pinch hit for 72% of the time.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the best for pitching on the schedule today.
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-365)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry's BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.. 64% of the time that David Fry has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
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Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ New York Yankees image thumbnail NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-worst stadium in baseball for RHB BABIP.. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Heliot Ramos will have a disadvantage in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams playing today.
Total Home Runs
Victor Mesa Jr. logo
Victor Mesa Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fences among all major league stadiums.. Over the past week, Victor Mesa Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Victor Mesa Jr. ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.
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Cincinnati Reds image thumbnail CIN @ Atlanta Braves image thumbnail ATL Tue, Sep 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the league's 17th-best home run hitter.. The #4 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 5th-highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Eugenio Suarez's launch angle in recent games (29.3° over the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 20.2° seasonal angle.
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Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 field in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Because of Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Salvador Perez will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. When starting against a southpaw this year, Brenton Doyle has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 39% of the time.. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest CF fences today.. Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brenton Doyle today.
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Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA @ Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC Tue, Sep 22 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the majors, the 7th-highest fence height (on average) are at Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Today, Ian Happ is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (90th percentile).. Sporting a .221 batting average this year, Ian Happ has performed in the 15th percentile.
Total Hits
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-best pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.7% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has been lucky this year, compiling a .399 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .054 difference.
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New York Mets image thumbnail NYM @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Tue, Sep 22 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen u1.5 Total Bases (-270)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Danny Jansen is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest CF fences in MLB are found in Globe Life Field.. In the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
Total Hits
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #2 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Corey Seager will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Corey Seager hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Corey Seager has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 7.1% in the past 7 days.. In the past week's worth of games, Corey Seager's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 94.7 mph to 84.3 mph.
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Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ @ Colorado Rockies image thumbnail COL Tue, Sep 22 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #1 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage in today's game.. Mickey Moniak is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Soroka logo
Michael Soroka o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 5.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Michael Soroka in the 76th percentile among all SPs in MLB.. The Colorado Rockies have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mickey Moniak, Hunter Goodman, Connor Norby, Zac Veen).. In his previous GS, Michael Soroka turned in a great performance and posted 10 strikeouts.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Michael Soroka has relied on his non-fastballs 12.2% more often this year (57.2%) than he did last season (45%).. Michael Soroka's 2526-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 95th percentile among all starters.
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Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.. Christian Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days.
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Los Angeles Angels image thumbnail LAA @ Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH Tue, Sep 22 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Jose Siri logo
Jose Siri o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jose Siri has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #1 ballpark in the majors for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the hottest weather on the slate today at 81°.
Total Bases
Travis d'Arnaud logo
Travis d'Arnaud u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Travis d'Arnaud in the 21st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Travis d'Arnaud is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Travis d'Arnaud has been pulled from the game early 52% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.. Sutter Health Park has the 9th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for long-balls.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.4-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for mound aces.
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Minnesota Twins image thumbnail MIN @ San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF Tue, Sep 22 • 9:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
JC
Jonah Cox o0.5 Total RBIs (+295)
Projection 0.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Jonah Cox is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jonah Cox is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today at 92%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.4-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Jonah Cox has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Alan Roden logo
Alan Roden u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Alan Roden ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Alan Roden is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Alan Roden has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 38% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 2nd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs.. Among all stadiums, the tallest average fence height are at Oracle Park.
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San Diego Padres image thumbnail SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD Tue, Sep 22 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+373)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
JD Yonke logo
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Fernando Tatis Jr. has been scoring hot at the dish, leaving the yard five times in his last nine games. Dodger Stadium's 124 Park Factor for home runs means that there's an increased chance of Tatis continuing his fine form by popping a long ball.

 

Total
San Diego Padres image thumbnail Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail u8.5 (-119)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
JD Yonke logo
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Play to 55%. Michael King has induced a 17% soft contact rate in his last eight starts and ranks in the 85th percentile in average exit velocity and the 88th percentile in hard-hit rate. L.A.'s bullpen has a 3.18 FIP and league-best 2.76 SIERA in relief across the last 14 days, and San Diego will have Mason Miller and all its best arms rested after Monday's off day. 

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.