St. Louis @ Washington props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brendan Donovan will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) provides evidence that Brendan Donovan has experienced some negative variance this year with his .324 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lars Nootbaar will probably have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alec Burleson stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the last week, Nolan Gorman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 33.3%. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (26.6°) is considerably better than his 21.5° angle last season.

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Lane Thomas has a tough challenge today. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today. Lane Thomas has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 93-mph in the past week's worth of games. Lane Thomas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 14% on the season to 0% over the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul Goldschmidt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. This season, Paul Goldschmidt has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.9 mph compared to last year's 93.9 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesse Winker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge in today's matchup.

The #4 park in MLB for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team on the slate today. Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has been lucky given the .049 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today. In the last week's worth of games, Nolan Arenado's 68.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today. Over the last 7 days, Jacob Young's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.1%.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker today. Masyn Winn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has compiled a .350 BABIP this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). LaVictor Lipscomb has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and LaVictor Lipscomb will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Juan Yepez's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 66.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Luis Garcia's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Luis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Mitchell Parker. Last season, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 25.6°. As it relates to his batting average, Dylan Carlson has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .212 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Willson Contreras has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Miles Mikolas. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.