MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 8, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Wed, Jul 8 • 3:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Casey Schmitt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Casey Schmitt ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for batters.. Casey Schmitt will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Wed, Jul 8 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Gerrit Cole throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.58
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams today.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Luke Raley is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Luke Raley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luke Raley today.
Total Bases
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Griffin Conine's batting average skill is projected to be in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 2nd-worst park in MLB for run-scoring.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -8° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. In today's game, Griffin Conine is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.9% rate (86th percentile).
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as Major League Baseball's 17th-best home run batter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 87°.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Wed, Jul 8 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.
Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Michael Harris II is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.. Michael Harris II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Jones in today's game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, Jul 8 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Curtis Mead ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Curtis Mead will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Luis Garcia Jr. will have an edge today.. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Mets logo NYM Wed, Jul 8 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will get to bat from his good side against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup.. Batters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Stephen Kolek who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Kansas City's 2nd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Wed, Jul 8 • 7:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. J.T. Realmuto has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest among all stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, Jul 8 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 76%.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Wed, Jul 8 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willson Contreras logo
Willson Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 86°.. Willson Contreras pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, Jul 8 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage over Michael McGreevy today.
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height in MLB.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Wed, Jul 8 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Jo Adell will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.
Total RBIs
Denzer Guzman logo
Denzer Guzman o0.5 Total RBIs (+276)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Denzer Guzman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Denzer Guzman will have an advantage in today's matchup.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Wed, Jul 8 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in the league.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mookie Betts will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height in the league.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, Jul 8 • 10:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

D-backs starter Jose Cabrera struggled to find the strike zone in his last outing, surrendering three earned runs over 3 1/3 innings against Milwaukee. Arizona will also have a tough time against Michael King, who has held D-backs hitters to a .546 OPS across 62 at-bats. The Padres are playable to -150.

Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Xander Bogaerts will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 16 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 26 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 19 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.