Cleveland @ Detroit Picks & Props

Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Steven Kwan's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (8.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive skill to be a .310, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .096 disparity between that figure and his actual .406 wOBA.

21% of the time that Colt Keith has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team today. Colt Keith has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 83.1-mph over the past 14 days.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Ben Lively will have the handedness advantage over Matt Vierling in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team today. Matt Vierling's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 15.5% on the season to 0% over the past week. Matt Vierling has displayed poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 4.75 K/BB rate.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal angle of 18.3°, Jose Ramirez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 36%.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Gio Urshela will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team today. Gio Urshela's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 87.5-mph mark last year has fallen off to 85.3-mph. In the past two weeks, Gio Urshela's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 88.4 mph to 80.8 mph.

Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andres Gimenez today. There has been a significant decline in Andres Gimenez's launch angle from last year's 12.9° to 7.8° this year. By putting up a .277 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andres Gimenez is ranked in the 18th percentile.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Justyn-Henry Malloy will hold that advantage in today's game. Justyn-Henry Malloy's launch angle of late (36.3° in the past week) is considerably better than his 19° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Given Ben Lively's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Wenceel Perez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Wenceel Perez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10.5% over the past 7 days.

Angel Martinez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Angel Martinez has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, angling balls between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time over the past week.

David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. David Fry has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Javier Baez's true offensive talent to be a .289, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .085 gap between that mark and his actual .204 wOBA.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 18.8% on the season to 37.5% in the past week's worth of games.

Jhonkensy Noel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Jhonkensy Noel has been hot lately, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Mark Canha will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Canha has shown good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 80th percentile with a 1.89 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Tyler Freeman has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.8-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph EV.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Given Ben Lively's large platoon split, Zach McKinstry will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Zach McKinstry will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 18°, Zach McKinstry has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27.5° angle over the last week.

The #5 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 6th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Carson Kelly's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph of late.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 7th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Austin Hedges's launch angle this season (20.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.7° mark last year. Austin Hedges has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 24.47 ft/sec to 25.16 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).