Chicago @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Ryan Mountcastle has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph dropping to 89.1-mph in the last 14 days. Ryan Mountcastle's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, decreasing from 45.4% on the season to 24% over the past two weeks.

Corbin Burnes will hold the platoon advantage over Nico Hoerner in today's game. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 89.4 mph to 80.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.8°) in the last two weeks.

Michael Busch is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's left field fences are the deepest. Adley Rutschman's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 89.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86-mph in the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) implies that Adley Rutschman has had some very good luck this year with his .286 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest right field dimensions among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Colton Cowser will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (42.2% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #8 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 93°. Miles Mastrobuoni will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Miles Mastrobuoni has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .251 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .304. Miles Mastrobuoni ranks in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (49.7% rate since the start of last season).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dansby Swanson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.2-mph figure.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jordan Westburg is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Jordan Westburg will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Christopher Morel has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.4-mph. Over the past two weeks, Christopher Morel's 52.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.3%.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. James McCann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's game. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's game.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Anthony Santander will get to bat from his strong side against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Miguel Amaya has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .194 figure is considerably lower than his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 93°. Tomas Nido hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, Tomas Nido has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 44° figure in the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) provides evidence that Tomas Nido has suffered from bad luck this year with his .241 actual wOBA.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Jorge Mateo will have an edge in today's game. Jorge Mateo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.