All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 25, 2026.
New
Computer Picks powered by
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.32 |
+125 
|
o6.5 -114 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.03 |
-134
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +180 
|
Baltimore
NY Yankees
Top Projection
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+429)
o0.5+475
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-115 
|
o6.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +162
|
|
4.25 |
+102
|
u6.5 -105
|
+1.5 -180
|
Chi. Cubs
Boston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.05 |
+145
|
o6.5 -115
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.70 |
-162
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +145
|
Tampa Bay
Philadelphia
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.29 |
-108
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.17 |
-106
|
u8.0 -118
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
Detroit
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-134
|
o7.5 -137
|
-1.5 +130 
|
|
4.73 |
+118
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -134
|
NY Mets
Washington
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.50 |
+116
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -167
|
|
4.01 |
-127
|
u7.5 -104
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
Toronto
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
-124
|
o8.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +142
|
|
4.56 |
+106
|
u8.5 -122
|
+1.5 -160
|
Atlanta
Miami
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
-127
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +127
|
|
3.80 |
+120
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -145
|
Cleveland
Kansas City
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5+223
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.74 |
+194
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -108
|
|
5.04 |
-200
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
Chi. White Sox
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+325)
o0.5+354
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+155
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -124
|
|
4.17 |
-172
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
St. Louis
Milwaukee
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-108
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.61 |
-105
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +150
|
Texas
Minnesota
Top Projection
Royce Lewis u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
u1.5-210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.33 |
-170
|
o8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
5.25 |
+148
|
u8.5 -106
|
+1.5 -115
|
Houston
Athletics
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+116
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.20 |
-134
|
u7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +168
|
Arizona
San Diego
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+135)
o1.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.32 |
+115
|
o6.5 -130
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
3.56 |
-130
|
u7.0 -118
|
-1.5 +180
|
LA Angels
Seattle
Top Projection
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
-360
|
o7.0 -125
|
-2.5 -115
|
|
2.53 |
+305
|
u7.5 -124
|
+2.5 +106
|
LA Dodgers
San Francisco
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+167
CHC
@
BOS
Fri, Sep 25 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 98th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's game.. Roman Anthony hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Trevor Story o1.5 Total Bases (+232)
Projection 1.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. Trevor Story will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Over the past week, Trevor Story's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 18.2%.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Pete Alonso has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the last week.. Pete Alonso has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 97.9-mph.. Pete Alonso's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 51.3% on the season to 81.8% in the past week.
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+214)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Beavers is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brendan Beck throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge today.. Dylan Beavers has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 13% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Dylan Beavers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.
TB
@
PHI
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
PIT
@
DET
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Kevin McGonigle will have the handedness advantage over Bubba Chandler in today's game.
Total Bases
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. Comerica Park projects as the #21 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is expected to have the 4th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. In today's matchup, Maxwell Clark is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (84th percentile).. In the last week's worth of games, Maxwell Clark's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 88 mph to 86 mph.
NYM
@
WAS
Fri, Sep 25 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Given Jonathan Pintaro's large platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Keibert Ruiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+330)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jonathan Pintaro... and even better, Pintaro has a large platoon split.. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team in action today.. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle in recent games (25.3° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 16.8° seasonal angle.
BAL
@
NYY
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has paced 29.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 90th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Placing in the 85th percentile, Christian Encarnacion-Strand has put up a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Pete Alonso has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the last week.
CIN
@
TOR
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+183)
Projection 0.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
Sal Stewart u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #10 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. José Soriano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sal Stewart in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Sal Stewart in today's game.. Over the past two weeks, Sal Stewart's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 7.4%.
ATL
@
MIA
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 114° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.
Total Hits
Ronald Acuna Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #24 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.. Eury Perez will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's game.. In today's game, Ronald Acuna Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.1% rate (87th percentile).. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup.
CLE
@
KC
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
I’m backing Cleveland behind Gavin Williams, who enters with a 3.63 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 244 strikeouts in 181 innings. Kansas City counters with Noah Cameron, but the bigger edge comes once the starters leave. The Royals’ bullpen has been a problem all season, while Cleveland owns a 3.75 team ERA. With the Guardians still fighting for the AL Central, I’ll trust the better pitching staff in a meaningful game.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Jo Adell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The #6 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.
COL
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+262)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #6 venue in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Mickey Moniak will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak's launch angle this season (21.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 17.4° angle last year.
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Miguel Vargas projects as the 20th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #6 park in baseball for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Miguel Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage today.
STL
@
MIL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
TEX
@
MIN
Fri, Sep 25 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 9th-best ballpark in baseball for RHB batting average.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.. Jake Burger has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past week.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+156)
Projection 0.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. This game is projected to have the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today (78%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Corey Seager will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
HOU
@
ATH
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Zack Gelof is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.
Total RBIs
Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The #1 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the highest temperatures on the slate at 87°.
AZ
@
SD
Fri, Sep 25 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
AZ (+116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (79%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.
LAA
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Julio Rodriguez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 13.7% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.. Julio Rodriguez has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 25th percentile with a 3.02 K/BB rate.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Josh Lowe o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+200)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today's game.. Josh Lowe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
LAD
@
SF
Fri, Sep 25 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 15th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Oracle Park has the shallowest right field fences in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Yunior Marte in today's game.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Yunior Marte today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
-
Visit all available MLB odds View now MLB odds
-
MLB Scores + Matchups View now MLB Scores + Matchups
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
