NBCSP, SNP

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jack Suwinski will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jack Suwinski has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .255 figure is a good deal lower than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jack Suwinski will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jack Suwinski has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .255 figure is a good deal lower than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Joshua Palacios Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Palacios
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Palacios in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Palacios will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joshua Palacios

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Palacios in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Palacios will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Oneil Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

HRs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league parks. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Aaron Nola. Bryan Reynolds has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .288 mark is considerably higher than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

HRs are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league parks. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Aaron Nola. Bryan Reynolds has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .288 mark is considerably higher than his .272 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Y. Grandal
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Yasmani Grandal will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Aaron Nola in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage in today's game. Yasmani Grandal has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season's 87.9-mph mark.

Yasmani Grandal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Yasmani Grandal will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Aaron Nola in this game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage in today's game. Yasmani Grandal has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season's 87.9-mph mark.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Andrew McCutchen faces a tough challenge in today's game.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Andrew McCutchen faces a tough challenge in today's game.

Michael A. Taylor Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

M. Taylor
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Michael A. Taylor today. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .239 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .042 disparity.

Michael A. Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Michael A. Taylor today. Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .239 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .042 disparity.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage over Ke'Bryan Hayes today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage over Ke'Bryan Hayes today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Joey Bart has a tough challenge in today's game. Joey Bart will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Joey Bart has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 30° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°.

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Joey Bart has a tough challenge in today's game. Joey Bart will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Joey Bart has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 30° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°.

Nick Gonzales Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

N. Gonzales
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Nick Gonzales today.

Nick Gonzales

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage over Nick Gonzales today.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Connor Joe will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Connor Joe will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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