NBC Bay Area, COLR

San Francisco @ Colorado props

Coors Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Rodgers
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Brendan Rodgers will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last year has fallen to 4.9% this season. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 19.7% to 9.4%. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 9.5% on the season to 20% over the last 7 days.

Brendan Rodgers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Brendan Rodgers will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Brendan Rodgers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last year has fallen to 4.9% this season. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 19.7% to 9.4%. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 9.5% on the season to 20% over the last 7 days.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jordan Hicks will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Hicks's large platoon split. Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 14th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .277. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Tovar is in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .228. Ezequiel Tovar has shown weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 1st percentile with a 9.19 K/BB rate.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jordan Hicks will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Hicks's large platoon split. Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 14th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .277. Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Tovar is in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .228. Ezequiel Tovar has shown weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 1st percentile with a 9.19 K/BB rate.

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jordan Hicks will have the handedness advantage over Brenton Doyle in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Hicks's large platoon split.

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jordan Hicks will have the handedness advantage over Brenton Doyle in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Hicks's large platoon split.

Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado

C. Blackmon
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Charlie Blackmon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Hicks today... and moreover, Hicks has a large platoon split. Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Charlie Blackmon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Charlie Blackmon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Hicks today... and moreover, Hicks has a large platoon split. Charlie Blackmon will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Because of Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Because of Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado

M. Toglia
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Michael Toglia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jordan Hicks... and even better, Hicks has a large platoon split. Michael Toglia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Michael Toglia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Toglia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jordan Hicks... and even better, Hicks has a large platoon split. Michael Toglia will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado

J. Stallings
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Jacob Stallings will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jacob Stallings's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.3°) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° angle last season.

Jacob Stallings

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Jacob Stallings will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jacob Stallings's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (15.3°) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° angle last season.

Aaron Schunk Total Hits Props • Colorado

A. Schunk
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Schunk will hold that advantage in today's game.

Aaron Schunk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Coors Field projects as the #1 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Schunk will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake Cave Total Hits Props • Colorado

J. Cave
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Because of Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Jake Cave will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jake Cave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Because of Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Jake Cave will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today's game.

Sam Hilliard Total Hits Props • Colorado

S. Hilliard
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Because of Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Sam Hilliard will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Sam Hilliard will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Sam Hilliard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense. Because of Jordan Hicks's large platoon split, Sam Hilliard will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Sam Hilliard will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast