San Diego @ Washington props

The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today. Over the last week, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%. CJ Abrams's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.5-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 81.2-mph over the last two weeks. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 14.4% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Luis Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today. In the past two weeks, Luis Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 92.9 mph to 89.3 mph. Luis Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 43.4% on the season to 31.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The #3 stadium in the majors for suppressing base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. DJ Herz will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has lowered to 87.1-mph. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 87.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 79.7-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jacob Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In notching a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Jacob Young is ranked in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jackson Merrill's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 17.6% on the season to 43.8% over the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.290) provides evidence that Jackson Merrill has experienced some negative variance this year with his .274 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Randy Vasquez today.

Juan Yepez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Juan Yepez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Juan Yepez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. Juan Yepez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Cronenworth has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an edge today. In the past week, Xander Bogaerts's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph in recent games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Ha-seong Kim will have the upper hand in today's game. Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .225 rate is a fair amount lower than his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. With a 1.27 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). LaVictor Lipscomb has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. LaVictor Lipscomb will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. LaVictor Lipscomb has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.8-mph to 91.4-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage today.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Randy Vasquez. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.8-mph over the course of the season to 90.8-mph of late.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jesse Winker will have an edge in today's game.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against DJ Herz. Jurickson Profar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season's 86.5-mph average. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 42% to 47.9%.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that DJ Herz throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have the upper hand in today's game. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 26.5%. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 12.2% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.